Tom Lee just dropped his $62k ETH thesis.
Here's the framework:
ETH supply dynamics are shifting hard. Post-merge burn mechanism + staking lockups = structural supply shock brewing. Meanwhile institutional flows into ETH ETFs keep accelerating.
His macro case: If BTC hits $250k-$300k in this cycle (his base case), ETH typically runs 3-4x harder on the ratio during peak euphoria. That math alone gets you to $50k+.
But the real alpha? He's betting on Ethereum's yield narrative flipping the script. As TradFi wakes up to 3-4% staking yields on a deflationary asset, capital rotation from bonds into ETH could dwarf current inflows.
Add in: Layer 2 explosion driving mainnet fee burns, potential spot ETH ETF staking approval, and a memecoin supercycle all settling on Ethereum rails.
$62k isn't the moonboy target anymore. It's the math if everything clicks.
ETH below $4k? That's the entry TradFi wishes they had.