After watching the market for a long time, you'll realize that the most torturous thing is often not the sharp falls, but rather the periods of stagnation after a drop, as if someone is picking it up, yet it feels just short of a breakthrough. Today, looking at @Pixels, I felt this way. The excitement from the recent surge has mostly been retraced. Over the past week, the overall impression from the market is weak; it surged before but couldn't hold, then it lost all the gains and returned to a relatively low position, repeatedly grinding. This kind of trend easily traps people in an awkward state: you know it hasn't completely lost demand, but it's also hard to say that it has become strong again.
If we only look at the recent trend, $PIXEL it currently resembles a pullback consolidation after a failed surge, rather than a continuation of a strong trend. This distinction is actually quite important. Because strong assets typically show a clear counterattack shortly after a pullback, with prices and sentiment quickly being pulled back; but this segment feels more like what? More like after a drop, although there is some support, the strength of that support is not enough to reignite market confidence. The state in the past 24 hours is similar, weak fluctuations, limited rebounds, and overall still under pressure. It is not the kind of market that drops straight down in one go, but rather a more emotionally taxing downward trend combined with low-level grinding. Many times, this kind of movement can be more frustrating than a simple decline, because it constantly gives you the illusion of "is it about to rise?" and then quickly suppresses that little expectation back down.
My own understanding of $PIXEL is now a bit more conservative. It's not that I'm extremely bearish, but I believe the short term does not yet possess the signal of "already reversing the trend." On the surface, we can see some buying support, which indicates that there are still people managing the low levels; the order book also shows that the lower side is not empty, indicating that there are still people in the market willing to take this position. But the problem is that this support is currently more defensive, not offensive. Defensive means that the price is not immediately continuing to fall out of control, while offensive means whether the funds are willing to actively push the price upwards. At least from the current stage, the former has some signs, while the latter is still not evident enough.
So if I were to summarize today in the simplest terms, @Pixels I would say it is currently in a stage of "weak, but not completely broken." Weak, because the main trend has indeed declined in the past week, and the short-term is still under a relatively weak structure; not completely broken, because there are buyers at the low levels, and the market hasn't shown signs of being completely out of control. However, for the short term, this state is still uncomfortable, as the lack of a clear strong reversal means we still need to see if the support can gradually accumulate into a more respectable counterattack. Before that, it resembles a coin that is digesting selling pressure at a low level and slowly seeking balance, rather than a strong asset that has re-entered an acceleration phase. In simple terms, the most fitting description at this stage is not "about to rise," but rather "don't rush, still enduring." #pixel


