After five uninterrupted weeks of threats and setbacks, the conflict in the Middle East seems to have already passed its peak. The baseline scenario now is one of normalization — although still subject to stumbles along the way.
Without this exogenous factor weighing on the markets and with a still resilient American economy, capital is starting to flow back into higher-risk assets. On the institutional front, major banks are beginning to offer cryptocurrencies directly to their clients — reinforcing the maturity and growth of demand in the sector.
All of this is converging towards a bullish trend for Bitcoin and the market as a whole.
Anyone investing in crypto knows the frustration: watching the market rise while the portfolio stays stagnant, trapped in assets that promised but didn’t deliver. In this edition, we take advantage of the timing to show how to avoid exactly that — and how to extract the maximum from this moment through a simple, systematic strategy that can be applied automatically and for free.
What underpins the new bullish movement
The current moment can be summed up simply: money hasn't disappeared — it's starting to move again.
On a macro level, the debate has shifted from a lack of liquidity to where it is going. American stocks have shown strength in recent weeks, with a relatively quick recovery after March's stress, while credit continues to function without signs of rupture. Spreads remain far from typical levels of systemic stress, indicating that the market is not pricing in a scenario of deep economic deterioration.
This completely changes the reading. When liquidity truly disappears, the market responds with disorganization and sharp drops; that is not the current scenario. What we’ve seen is a movement of caution: capital has temporarily become more defensive in response to conflict but hasn’t left the system. With the stabilization of the scenario, this same capital starts to gradually reposition itself, taking on risk again and seeking growth-sensitive assets.
With less pressure on the macro front and credit still functional, the incentive to remain in excessively conservative positions (fixed income) decreases. The result is a progressive repositioning in search of return and convexity — and it’s precisely this type of flow that has historically sustained more consistent movements in assets like Bitcoin.
On the institutional side, the movement has clearly accelerated, highlighted by the direct entry of major banks and institutions into crypto-related product offerings. Morgan Stanley launched the MSBT, its spot Bitcoin ETF, which quickly became one of the firm’s most successful launches. Goldman Sachs began structuring Bitcoin-related products for institutional clients. Charles Schwab — with over 30 million clients — enabled direct trading of Bitcoin and Ethereum. And the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) reinforced its support for crypto infrastructure.
This movement makes a difference primarily in distribution. When these institutions start offering crypto within their platforms, access stops being niche and becomes integrated into the traditional financial system, significantly expanding the reach and potential demand for the sector.
The difference between common gains and extraordinary gains
Bitcoin above $75,000 grabs attention, but that’s not where the main asymmetry lies. In cycles like the current one, BTC tends to lead the movement, acting as an entry point for flow. As the market gains traction and liquidity spreads, capital begins to seek assets with greater relative appreciation potential — and it’s at this moment that the most interesting distortions arise.
Within this correlated market, there exists a layer of differentiation that becomes decisive for portfolio performance. Some altcoins can perform far above Bitcoin. A DeFi protocol that starts accumulating real revenue, a second-layer network with significant user growth, an infrastructure token linked to the AI boom. These catalysts create appreciation windows that go well beyond the general market movement — and it is in this type of dynamic that momentum proves to be one of the most consistent approaches.
The logic is backed by decades of research: assets that are appreciating tend to continue appreciating. When an altcoin shows relative strength superior to Bitcoin, something changes in the dynamics of that asset. It could be a new fundamental being priced in, a narrative gaining traction — in many cases, it’s precisely this combination that sustains the movement.
Through indicators and models that weigh which factors are most effective in each market regime, a portfolio managed with this logic observes which assets are already rising and to what intensity — adjusting positions accordingly. To prevent volatility from compromising capital during stressful times, total exposure is also dynamically calibrated: more conservative during turbulence, more open to risk when the environment improves.
In crypto, narratives emerge and disappear at lightning speed. Projects that seem revolutionary can spend months going sideways or accumulating losses — which is why discipline becomes crucial. By reducing exposure to assets that are losing strength, the strategy avoids holding positions in a downtrend and limits prolonged drawdowns, one of the biggest capital destroyers in this market.
If you've been investing in crypto for a while, you’ve probably experienced this: holding onto a 'promising' thesis while the price simply doesn’t respond.
In our view, momentum is not just a complementary tool; it is one of the central gears for navigating this type of market with consistency.
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