BBC identified trading spikes as little as 14 minutes before Donald Trump's market-moving statements during his second term. The report linked those patterns to oil trades before Trump's comments on Iran and to bets ahead of his April 9, 2025 tariff pause. BBC also highlighted Polymarket wagers that turned $32,500 into $436,000 and six accounts that collectively earned about $1.2 million after a US strike against Iran by February 28.