I keep looking at RAVE. It feels like one of those moves that went too far too fast. Not ago it was sitting under one dollar. Then suddenly it jumped all the way near ten. That kind of jump does not happen slowly. It comes from feelings and fast cash.
* At first the buying felt real. Big green candles kept showing up. The price did not give time to breathe. It looked like everyone wanted in at the time.
*. When I see moves like this I always ask one thing. Who is really buying RAVE and why now.
A big part of this surge came from people covering their losses. When the price started moving up it hit levels where short traders had to close. That forced buying pushed the price higher. Then it hit another zone. The same thing happened again. It becomes a chain reaction. The price of RAVE goes up not because people want to hold but because they are forced to buy
This kind of move can look strong. It has a weak base. Once those forced buyers are gone the market needs demand for RAVE. That is where things start to slow down.
When RAVE reached near fifteen it started to show signs of pressure. Sellers stepped in. Early buyers took profit. The price dropped back toward the ten area. That drop did not break the trend. It showed that momentum is not endless.
Now the price is sitting around eleven. Trying to hold. Buyers are still there. They are not rushing like before. It feels more balanced. Some people are entering while others are exiting RAVE. This is where markets decide what comes next.
* If RAVE can stay above ten it still has a chance to move back toward twelve or even fourteen. That level is important because it was the high for RAVE. If the price reaches there again it will test if buyers still have strength.
*. If the price loses ten then things can change quickly. The same thin liquidity that helped the price go up can also pull it down fast. In that case eight or nine becomes possible again.
One more thing that stands out is supply. Only a small part of the RAVE tokens are in the market right now. That means the price can move quickly in both directions. It also means volatility will stay high.
For me this is no longer a trend. It is a test phase. The easy part of the move is already done. Now it depends on interest in RAVE. Not forced buying. Not hype. Just people deciding if they want to stay with RAVE.
Now RAVE feels like it is catching its breath. The next move will show if this was a quick spike or something that can actually build into a stronger trend, for RAVE.
