How to Identify Trends (Part One: The Best Use of Averages)

From my perspective, this is the best way for traders to use averages; they aren't a strategy per se, but they give you a feel for the current market situation and help you make decisions.

Step One: We load 5 averages for the following uses:

  • Very fast: to monitor the candlestick and where it closes.

  • Fast: in conjunction with "very fast" we determine the strength of the trend.

  • Moderate: in conjunction with "fast" we determine the direction for the short-term.

  • Slow: in conjunction with "moderate" we determine the direction for the medium-term.

  • Very slow: in conjunction with "slow" we determine the direction for the long-term (to keep up with whales and investment funds).

Step two:
We determine the timeframe we're going to trade on, let's say "one hour", and set a 100 moving average as the standard "moderate" average, or any average you feel the market reacts to. The other averages mimic the 100 average but on different timeframes.

Illustrative example:
If we want to simulate the 100 average (for the 1-hour timeframe) on other timeframes, we perform the following calculation:

  • Very fast (simulating 5-minute timeframe): since the hour contains 12 units of 5 minutes, we divide 100 by 12 = 8.33 (rounding to 9).

  • Fast (simulating 15-minute timeframe): since the hour contains 4 units of 15 minutes, we divide 100 by 4 = 25.

  • Moderate (1-hour timeframe): remains at 100.

  • Slow (simulating 4-hour timeframe): we multiply 100 by 4 = 400.

  • Very slow (simulating 1-day timeframe): we multiply 100 by 24 hours = 2400.

👈 In the following image of #XRP, you'll notice how your market perspective becomes clearer after applying these settings.

Step three: Use this method to determine the trend as a traffic signal as shown in the following image.

Confident Green: the situation says trade with full confidence and don't rush to exit.

Cautious Green: enter but with caution and exit quickly once you achieve the nearest possible target.

Risky Red: the situation is very dangerous but you can take the risk if all the conditions of the strategy you're following are met.

Red Forbidden: no matter how tempting the trade is, entry is strictly prohibited.

Remember that this method helps strengthen your decisions, but making it a strategy with intersections is a weak and risky strategy because it is monitored by whales who seek to break it, but it helps in making a decision for a sell or buy trade, and I advise you to do ... ......

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