🚨 ETH ALERT – CONTROLLED BEARISH SCENARIO (5m / 15m)
Currently, the ETH price continues to respect the short-term bearish structure. The key lies in the moving averages: as long as the price remains below the 20-period EMA, the probability continues to favor a downward continuation.
📉 Current Scenario:
A weak pullback towards the 6-period EMA or 20-period EMA is expected, where the price may encounter resistance. It doesn't need to rise sharply; it simply needs to fail to break and close above that level.
🎯 Movement Targets:
* First Level: 2,300
* Likely Extension: 2,285
⏱️ Key Time Window:
This move should play out within a short range:
* 2 15-minute candles
* 1 30-minute candle
🕒 Estimated Cutoff Time:
* 🇪🇨 Ecuador / 🇵🇪 Peru / 🇨🇴 Colombia / 🇵🇦 Panama / 🇯🇲 Jamaica: 6:45 PM → 7:15 PM
* 🇲🇽 Mexico City: 5:45 PM → 6:15 PM
* 🇦🇷 🇨🇱 🇧🇷: 8:45 PM → 21:15
* 🇪🇸 Spain: 00:45 → 01:15
* 🇬🇧 United Kingdom: 23:45 → 00:15
⚠️ Key Condition:
Even if the candlestick falls without much force, the important thing is that the price does not recover the 20-period EMA. If the 6-period EMA remains below and acts as dynamic resistance, the bearish pressure is still active.
🔥 Conclusion:
The scenario favors a progressive downward movement towards 2,300 → 2,285 within the estimated timeframe.
📈 In the next analysis, I'll explain the opposite scenario: when it turns bullish (LONG) and how to take advantage of it correctly.