Middle East tension is pushing oil risk higher, and now the market is watching the Fed even more closely. If rates stay unchanged but inflation concerns remain alive, Treasury yields, dollar strength, and overall risk appetite could all react fast.

That matters for crypto too.

When macro uncertainty rises, the market stops trading only on charts. It starts trading on policy expectations, liquidity, and how investors price risk across everything at once.

For me, the key point is simple:

This week is not just about whether the Fed changes rates.

It is about what Powell signals next, and whether markets feel more confidence or more caution after that.

Big macro weeks often move all markets together.

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