The "Three-Phase Plan" for US-Iran is leaking and the stakes couldn't be higher
Phase 1: Ceasefire or bust. No talks without a total freeze on missiles.
Phase 2: Hormuz control. The world’s oil vein is on the table.
Phase 3: The Nuclear "Grand Bargain". Dismantlement for Dollars.
Trump wants "Zero Enrichment"
Iran wants "Zero Sanctions"
The 2-week ceasefire expires soon and the market is pricing in either a historic peace deal or a total regional blowout.
If Phase 1 holds, expect a massive relief rally in risk assets.
If it fails, $150 oil is the floor.
The next 48 hours are pure macro gambling.
Stay hedged.