Impact of the shooting at Trump's dinner on the market
1. Immediate market reaction
- The event occurred on the evening of April 25, 2026, during the White House Correspondents' Dinner in Washington, where Trump, Melania, the Vice President, and cabinet members were evacuated from the hall.
- Markets usually move with "Trump win bets" after the assassination attempts: the dollar rallies, long-term bond yields spike, and Bitcoin takes off.
2. The most affected sectors
- Trump Media stocks DJT: surged 31% after a previous assassination attempt, reaching a market cap of 7.7 billion dollars.
- Defense stocks: seeing repeated highs following security incidents linked to Trump.
- Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin jumped ∼7% after the previous shooting and continues to be a beneficiary asset of the "Trump trade". f6f823
3. Bonds and the dollar
- Investors are anticipating a loose fiscal policy + lower taxes with Trump → shorting long-term bonds and rising yields.
- The 10-year futures took a dip after the assassination attempt, signaling a rise in yields.
- The dollar index remained relatively stable after the recent incident in Florida, dropping only 0.03%.
4. Summary for the investor
- The incident boosted "Trump win bets" in the markets: media stocks, defense, crypto, and the dollar are trending upwards.
- While long-term bonds and clean energy might feel the pressure due to expectations of climate policy reversals.
- Volatility remains limited unless there’s a sharp change in winning projections. #