Peter Lynch used to say:
“Price alone tells you nothing… future earnings are the real story.”
That’s why his favorite metric was the PEG ratio simply the price-to-earnings ratio divided by expected earnings growth.
The rule is straightforward:
* PEG < 1 → Growth not yet priced in
* PEG > 2 → Entering the danger zone
Now look at where semiconductor companies stand today:
🔴 Overvalued zone:
* $INTC~3.2x
* $AMAT ~2.5x
* $KLAC ~2.5x
* $ARM ~2.2x
* $ALAB ~2.1x
🟡 Fair value zone:
* $ANET ~2.0x
* $LRCX ~2.0x
* $AAOI ~1.6x
* $ASML ~1.6x
* $COHR ~1.4x
* $CRDO ~1.1x
🟢 Opportunity zone (growth not priced in):
* $NVDA ~0.9x
* $TSM ~0.9x
* $AVGO ~0.9x
* $AMD ~0.8x
* $SNDK~0.7x
* $ON ~0.7x
* $MRVL ~0.6x
* $LITE ~0.6x
The most interesting case:
* $MU~0.2x
A PEG of 0.2 implies the market is pricing its growth at less than one-fifth of its potential assuming expectations materialize.
And that’s exactly what makes Micron Technology compelling right now, especially with rising demand for HBM memory driven by AI systems.
Big numbers attract attention.
But real opportunities often hide in the small ones.
So the real question is:
Which company on this list stands out to you the most?
