The BTC volatility index has once again 
hit a local low. History teaches us: after such a 'calm', a powerful impulse always follows. It seems we're in for a seriously hot week.
Specifically 👇
🗓 Wednesday (April 29)
21:00 — FOMC meeting and likely Powell's final act.
Jerome Powell might hold his last press conference before stepping down. This is the main event of the week.
🕊 Dovish scenario: If the rhetoric is soft ('inflation due to Iran is temporary', 'the economy is stable'), markets will get fuel for growth.
🦅 Hawkish scenario: If Powell starts talking about rate hikes due to inflation risks and weak labor market—expect a harsh reality check and sell-offs.
🗓 Thursday (April 30)
15:30 — US GDP data (Q1) and Inflation.
The market is trying to figure out: was the slowdown at the end of 2025 a coincidence due to the 'shutdown' or the start of a trend?
Strong GDP: Short-term positivity (investors aren't fearing a recession), but hopes for 'the printing press' and rate cuts are being pushed back.
Weak GDP: Local panic, but strategically it's a plus—the Fed will be forced to flood the market with liquidity to save the economy.
🇮🇷 Iran Factor: Geopolitics remains a key trigger. Any progress in diplomacy with the US could be the climax of the current rally, while negative news may send the market into a correction.
🎯 My take on the market
I'm still expecting the bounce to continue. Targets remain the same:
BTC: 80,000+
ETH: 2,500+
BNB: 700+
Most likely, the rise will continue until the positivity from Iran becomes definitive and the crowd 'forgets' about risks, blinded by green candlesticks.
🔍 Historical context for dessert
Statistics don't lie: in 10 out of 13 instances when the Fed Chair changed, the markets experienced a strong downturn. If the new chair takes office in May, it perfectly aligns with the end of our bounce and the start of a deep correction.
Stick to risk management and keep an eye on updates! 🔔
And remember—we don't trade news: We trade the chart 😎
In all networks 🤝