$BTC faces crosscurrents: Fed policy offers upside if inflation cools, but miner/distributor selling and protocol risks cap rallies. The $106K weekly close is critical - a breakdown opens $85K, while holding could spark short-covering toward $114.9K (50% Fib). Will whale accumulation (1,721 $BTC bought in August) offset institutional outflows? Monitor the Spot/Perp volume ratio for liquidity shifts.

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