$ETH
1. Horizon: 1 hour
Expected volatility: $40–60
Likely movement: a short bounce after oversold STOCH RSI.
Range: $3445–3470 (max), $3400–3410 (min)
Probability: 60% — bounce, 40% — continuation of decline.
➡️ Scenario: a small upward ricochet, but no more than 1–1.5%. This is purely a technical breath.
2. Horizon: 4 hours
MACD: in deep red, signal line has not yet crossed.
MA(25) and MA(99) have diverged down — signal of trend continuation.
Range: $3370–3480
➡️ Scenario: if it doesn’t break 3470 — prepare for a test of $3300–3270.
Probability of breaking below 3300 — about 65%.
3. Horizon: 6 hours
Volumes (OBV) are falling → buyers are not coming in, bounces are weak.
Range: $3250–3470
➡️ Scenario: likely decline within a descending channel.
Balance point somewhere around $3330–3360.
Probability of falling below 3300 — 70%.
4. Horizon: 24 hours
If the market does not return the price above $3500 — we will have a full continuation of the descending trend.
MACD confirms medium-term weakness.
Range: $3160–3500, with a high chance of testing $3200–3160.
➡️ Scenario: a drop to ≈$3200, possibly a short push down to $3100–3120, then stabilization.
Probability of continued decline — 75–80%.
1. Horizon: 1 hour
Expected volatility: $40–60
Likely movement: a short bounce after oversold STOCH RSI.
Range: $3445–3470 (max), $3400–3410 (min)
Probability: 60% — bounce, 40% — continuation of decline.
➡️ Scenario: a small upward ricochet, but no more than 1–1.5%. This is purely a technical breath.
2. Horizon: 4 hours
MACD: in deep red, signal line has not yet crossed.
MA(25) and MA(99) have diverged down — signal of trend continuation.
Range: $3370–3480
➡️ Scenario: if it doesn’t break 3470 — prepare for a test of $3300–3270.
Probability of breaking below 3300 — about 65%.
3. Horizon: 6 hours
Volumes (OBV) are falling → buyers are not coming in, bounces are weak.
Range: $3250–3470
➡️ Scenario: likely decline within a descending channel.
Balance point somewhere around $3330–3360.
Probability of falling below 3300 — 70%.
4. Horizon: 24 hours
If the market does not return the price above $3500 — we will have a full continuation of the descending trend.
MACD confirms medium-term weakness.
Range: $3160–3500, with a high chance of testing $3200–3160.
➡️ Scenario: a drop to ≈$3200, possibly a short push down to $3100–3120, then stabilization.
Probability of continued decline — 75–80%.