Crypto Guru to the Moon(@CryptoBlockDev)'s insights

📊 Data from Wintermute (10/11/2025) shows: ▫️ When $BTC

Crypto Guru to the Moon · 2025-11-12T07:07:28.000Z

📊 Data from Wintermute (10/11/2025) shows: ▫️ When $BTC Bitcoin is within 10% of ATH, altcoins outperform in over 60% of cases. ▫️ But when Bitcoin is between 10–20% away (currently ~16%), that probability drops to ~54%. ▫️ When BTC is around ~100k, the likelihood of $BTC Bitcoin outperforming altcoins increases to ~58%. 👉 This means the "alt season" has not yet started, only occurring when $BTC approaches the previous peak and the flow of money spreads to $ETH and other altcoins. #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #MarketUpdate #Wintermute

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Crypto Guru to the Moon

Wintermute's Insight: Altcoins NOT IN SEASON—only explode when BTC is near ATH? (Week 2 - November 2025)

Crypto Market Report – Week 2, November 2025. Source: Wintermute
Quick Summary
Sentiment improves after market positioning is 'reset', selective money returns to risk.
Activation conditions for altcoins: History shows that altcoins only explode when BTC approaches the old peak; currently BTC is still ~mid-teens % away from ATH, so the rotation to alt has not truly activated.
The next volatility factor may come from policy & politics in the US rather than from market positioning.

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