#恐慌与贪婪指数

1️⃣ Let ChatGPT summarize the situations where the index has dropped to the 10–20 range over the past few years:

End of 2018 (Bitcoin $3,200) → Long-term bottom

March 2020 (pandemic crash) → Excellent buying point

July 2021 (China's mining ban / BTC $29,000) → Major reversal bottom

June 2022 (Luna crash) → Rebound point, but not the final bottom

November 2022 (FTX crash) → BTC $15,500 true bottom

March 2023 (banking crisis) → BTC $19,000 → Quick V recovery

Today in 2025: Index = 15

2️⃣ Let ChatGPT calculate based on previous data:

When Fear & Greed is in the 10–20 range,

Probability of price increase in the next 1–3 months: ≈ 75%

Probability of price increase in the next 6–12 months: ≈ 88%

But in the short term (next 1–2 weeks):

The probability of continuing to explore lower levels is still 30–40%

When it comes to mutual foolishness, is it to continue panicking or to start being greedy

#美国结束政府停摆 $BTC