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R_Ari21
57 Posts

R_Ari21

Full Time Trader || IG: @r_ari21
DN Holder
DN Holder
Frequent Trader
4.6 Years
65 Following
67 Followers
163 Liked
Posts
PINNED
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$BTC Monthly. In this post, I'm dropping the Kelly Criterion formula to help you maximize your profits and minimize those pesky Margin Calls.
$BTC Monthly.

In this post, I'm dropping the Kelly Criterion formula to help you maximize your profits and minimize those pesky Margin Calls.
R_Ari21
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Kelly Criterion in trading
If you want to use this formula in trading to maximize profit and risk management, a trader must know the probability of the method used. To find this out, you can perform a backtest.
=================================================================================
A simple example:
Capital $100
Risk/Trade 10%
If a loss occurs, the capital will decrease by $10 (10%)
Remaining capital $90
Therefore, in the next trade, Risk/trade becomes $9
dst,.
"If the probability of the method used is good, risk can be maximized so that the profit gained can be much faster and significantly larger, but the risk of a Margin Call is very small."
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Bullish
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Bullish
$ALLO 8 Juni 2026 || Target 100% || TP or SL ? ============== DYOR. {spot}(ALLOUSDT)
$ALLO 8 Juni 2026 || Target 100% || TP or SL ?
==============
DYOR.
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Bullish
$FIDA 7 Juni 2026 || 40%-100% TP or hit SL ? Let's see ============ DYOR. {spot}(FIDAUSDT)
$FIDA 7 Juni 2026 || 40%-100% TP or hit SL ? Let's see
============
DYOR.
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Bullish
$AGT Is it going to moonshot? =========================== DEX is like a jungle, Alpha is like the countryside, and CEX is the big city. A token that can get into Binance Alpha means it has already passed the curation stage by the team #Binance , so the probability of a rug pull is reduced, although it doesn't eliminate the possibility that any token project can fail. #AGT Market Capitalization: $41.74 Million. Liquidity & Volume: A healthy liquidity of $1.16 Million with an active 24-hour trading volume hitting $1.93 Million. Community Retention: Supported by a solid investor base with over 189,000 holders. ==== Disclaimer: This information is educational and not a financial solicitation. Do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. I'm in. {alpha}(560x5dbde81fce337ff4bcaaee4ca3466c00aecae274)
$AGT Is it going to moonshot?
===========================
DEX is like a jungle, Alpha is like the countryside, and CEX is the big city. A token that can get into Binance Alpha means it has already passed the curation stage by the team #Binance , so the probability of a rug pull is reduced, although it doesn't eliminate the possibility that any token project can fail.

#AGT
Market Capitalization: $41.74 Million.
Liquidity & Volume: A healthy liquidity of $1.16 Million with an active 24-hour trading volume hitting $1.93 Million.
Community Retention: Supported by a solid investor base with over 189,000 holders.
====
Disclaimer: This information is educational and not a financial solicitation. Do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

I'm in.
R_Ari21
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Waiting for momentum and confirmation with targets at Fibonacci levels. If the trend on the higher time frames remains strong, I'll be focusing my trades on $AGT this weekend.

{alpha}(560x5dbde81fce337ff4bcaaee4ca3466c00aecae274)
Waiting for momentum and confirmation with targets at Fibonacci levels. If the trend on the higher time frames remains strong, I'll be focusing my trades on $AGT this weekend. {alpha}(560x5dbde81fce337ff4bcaaee4ca3466c00aecae274)
Waiting for momentum and confirmation with targets at Fibonacci levels. If the trend on the higher time frames remains strong, I'll be focusing my trades on $AGT this weekend.
Yesterday I made a profit on this coin, here's why I chose to be a day trader with SL & TP setups because I don't want to be the exit liquidity for the whales 😵. As a day trader, besides optimizing strategies, calculating fees for each trade is crucial. If ABC just closes in the green or I don't know the target for each trade, I have to be careful with the transaction fees because if not calculated correctly, it can significantly cut into profits, especially if there's high slippage on the trades. My advice is to always budget a few dollars to buy coins $BNB because in every transaction (buy & sell) the total discount is 50%. This means for every coin #BNB that we buy, we don't care if the price goes up or down because the purchase is for trading. Buy it here 👇 {spot}(BNBUSDT)
Yesterday I made a profit on this coin, here's why I chose to be a day trader with SL & TP setups because I don't want to be the exit liquidity for the whales 😵.

As a day trader, besides optimizing strategies, calculating fees for each trade is crucial. If ABC just closes in the green or I don't know the target for each trade, I have to be careful with the transaction fees because if not calculated correctly, it can significantly cut into profits, especially if there's high slippage on the trades.

My advice is to always budget a few dollars to buy coins $BNB because in every transaction (buy & sell) the total discount is 50%.

This means for every coin #BNB that we buy, we don't care if the price goes up or down because the purchase is for trading.

Buy it here 👇
R_Ari21
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$GPS Hit TP.
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Bullish
#ZECUSDT For the overall trend, it's still bullish. My target is still set for the Fibonacci zone (check the chart) whether the price hits it or not is up to the market. Our job as traders is to manage risk to survive as long as possible in the market while securing profits. Even though $ZEC & $IO hit SL, the win ratio is still positive because there’s profit from $SUSHI .
#ZECUSDT For the overall trend, it's still bullish. My target is still set for the Fibonacci zone (check the chart) whether the price hits it or not is up to the market. Our job as traders is to manage risk to survive as long as possible in the market while securing profits.

Even though $ZEC & $IO hit SL, the win ratio is still positive because there’s profit from $SUSHI .
R_Ari21
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Jumping into the liquidity pool 😇, $ZEC Hit SL.
$SUSHI Hit TP.
$SUSHI Hit TP.
R_Ari21
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$SUSHI 3 June 2026.
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
Jumping into the liquidity pool 😇, $ZEC Hit SL.
Jumping into the liquidity pool 😇, $ZEC Hit SL.
R_Ari21
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$ZEC Are we going to continue?? If there's a liquidity crunch, we'll need to fuel up first. Always make sure to use stop loss. DYOR.
$IO Hit SL.
$IO Hit SL.
R_Ari21
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Bullish
$IO 3 June 2026.
==============
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
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Bullish
$PARTI Midnight breakout (UTC+7) I was already asleep 🤷. Will it continue? Waiting for further confirmation, possibly during the London session or maybe sooner.
$PARTI Midnight breakout (UTC+7) I was already asleep 🤷.

Will it continue?
Waiting for further confirmation, possibly during the London session or maybe sooner.
R_Ari21
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Bullish
$PARTI Waiting for the breakout.
Article
Kelly Criterion in tradingIf you want to use this formula in trading to maximize profit and risk management, a trader must know the probability of the method used. To find this out, you can perform a backtest. ================================================================================= A simple example: Capital $100 Risk/Trade 10% If a loss occurs, the capital will decrease by $10 (10%) Remaining capital $90 Therefore, in the next trade, Risk/trade becomes $9 dst,. "If the probability of the method used is good, risk can be maximized so that the profit gained can be much faster and significantly larger, but the risk of a Margin Call is very small."

Kelly Criterion in trading

If you want to use this formula in trading to maximize profit and risk management, a trader must know the probability of the method used. To find this out, you can perform a backtest.
=================================================================================
A simple example:
Capital $100
Risk/Trade 10%
If a loss occurs, the capital will decrease by $10 (10%)
Remaining capital $90
Therefore, in the next trade, Risk/trade becomes $9
dst,.
"If the probability of the method used is good, risk can be maximized so that the profit gained can be much faster and significantly larger, but the risk of a Margin Call is very small."
·
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Bullish
$IO 3 June 2026. ============== Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$IO 3 June 2026.
==============
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$ZEC Are we going to continue?? If there's a liquidity crunch, we'll need to fuel up first. Always make sure to use stop loss. DYOR.
$ZEC Are we going to continue?? If there's a liquidity crunch, we'll need to fuel up first. Always make sure to use stop loss. DYOR.
R_Ari21
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Bullish
$ZEC 2 Juni 2026.
Entry 603.78 | SL 7% TP 14% | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
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Bullish
$PARTI Waiting for the breakout.
$PARTI Waiting for the breakout.
$GPS Hit TP.
$GPS Hit TP.
R_Ari21
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$GPS June 3, 2026.
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$SUSHI 3 June 2026. Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$SUSHI 3 June 2026.
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$GPS June 3, 2026. Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$GPS June 3, 2026.
Entry: Check the Chart | RR 1:2 | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
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Bullish
$ZEC 2 Juni 2026. Entry 603.78 | SL 7% TP 14% | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
$ZEC 2 Juni 2026.
Entry 603.78 | SL 7% TP 14% | Risk 1-10% (Kelly Criterion) | TF M15 | DYOR.
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