We remain bearish for now, until war cools down and we forget when Michael sold some $BTC

According to CoinMarketCap data, the global cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $2.31T, down by 2.66% over the last 24 hours.Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading between $65,426 and $68,756 over the past 24 hours. As of 09:30 AM (UTC) today, BTC is trading at $66,730, down by -3.10%.Most major cryptocurrencies by market cap are trading mixed. Market outperformers include VIC, PORTAL, and GENIUS, up by 29%, 26%, and 25%, respectively.Bitcoin Crashes to Below $66K Before Recovering — $1.83B Wiped as Iran Strikes, Tariffs Return, and the CLARITY Act Finally Hits the Senate FloorUS-Iran military exchanges triggered $1.83B in crypto liquidations sending Bitcoin to a nine-week low of $65,385 before Trump denied talks had collapsed and the market partially recovered to $67,000. Simultaneously, the US proposed new Section 301 tariffs of at least 10% on 60 trading partners, adding a fresh macro headwind.Against the turmoil, the CLARITY Act was officially added to the Senate legislative agenda — the most concrete crypto legislative milestone in months — ADP jobs beat at 122,000, Anthropic filed for a near-$1T IPO, and oil held below $100 despite the escalation, suggesting markets are not yet fully pricing a Hormuz collapse.Trump Proposes New Section 301 Tariffs of at Least 10% on Imports From 60 NationsKey Takeaways:The US is proposing new Section 301 tariffs of at least 10% on imports from 60 nations — targeting goods allegedly produced by forced labor; 10% for Canada, Mexico, EU, Taiwan, UK; 12.5% for China, India, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, SwitzerlandPublic comment period runs to July 6, hearings begin July 7; duties expected to take effect around when the existing 10% global Section 122 tariff expires in July — effectively extending and expanding the tariff wallExemptions include food staples (beef, coffee, bananas, orange juice), metals, and certain fuels and chemicals; USTR Greer said the US "will no longer tolerate" the disparity in forced-labor enforcementGlobal equities held gains post-announcement — MSCI All Country World Index rose 0.1% to a record — suggesting markets are not treating the tariffs as an immediate shock but as a negotiating frameworkSummary:New Section 301 tariffs landing in the same week as Iran escalation and record crypto liquidations adds a third macro headwind that Bitcoin doesn't need right now. The market's muted equity reaction suggests traders are reading the tariffs as a negotiating opening rather than a final policy — the comment period and July effective date give trading partners time to respond. For crypto, the tariff proposal reinforces the inflationary backdrop that has been driving rate hike odds above 68%, making a Fed pivot even harder to justify and the macro tailwind Bitcoin needs even more distant.      Digital Asset Market Transparency Act Added to U.S. Senate AgendaKey Takeaways:The Digital Asset Market Transparency Act (CLARITY Act) has been officially added to the US Senate legislative agenda, confirmed by the official Congress legislative information websiteThe bill passed the House in July 2025, cleared two Senate committees, but faces unresolved disagreements on stablecoins, tokenized stocks, ethical clauses, and conflicts of interest — including JPMorgan CEO Dimon's opposition to interest-on-deposits provisionsAddition to the Senate agenda is a procedural milestone that moves the bill closer to a full floor vote — the most concrete legislative advancement in monthsIf enacted alongside the GENIUS Act and PARITY Act, analysts say the combined framework could meaningfully accelerate institutional integration of Web3 and DeFi into mainstream financeSummary:The CLARITY Act reaching the Senate floor agenda is the most significant crypto legislative development of the week — and of the past several months. The bill's passage would remove one of the most persistent institutional friction points around crypto allocation: regulatory classification uncertainty. The timing is bittersweet — it arrives when Bitcoin is at nine-week lows and institutional sentiment is at its worst of 2026. But legislation operates on a longer timeline than price, and CLARITY passage would be a durable structural positive regardless of where Bitcoin is trading when the vote occurs.        Bitcoin Recovers to $67,000 After Crashing to Nine-Week Low — US-Iran Strikes Wipe $1.83 Billion in Leveraged PositionsKey Takeaways:Bitcoin hit $65,385 — its lowest since late March — before recovering to ~$67,000; the 7% daily decline was the largest since February 5; BTC is now 47% below its October ATH of $126,000$1.83B in crypto liquidations across 277,000 traders in 24 hours, dwarfing the prior record of $958M; 90%+ from long positionsCENTCOM stated it conducted "self-defense strikes" on Qeshm Island after defeating Iranian ballistic missiles and drones; Iran launched missiles at Kuwait and Bahrain — all failed to reach intended targetsTrump directly denied peace talks had collapsed: "The conversations between us have been going on continuously, including four days ago, three days ago, two days ago, one day ago, and today" — the partial recovery to $67K reflects markets treating the process as damaged but not deadBitrue Research: the drop is "more about leveraged liquidations, heavy ETF outflows, and technical breakdowns than pure Iran news — but it amplifies the fear"; real support at $64K–$65K200-week EMA at ~$69,000 — broken on the way down — now serves as immediate resistance; reclaiming it would be the first technical signal that this leg lower is exhaustingSummary:The $1.83B liquidation event is the culmination of three weeks of structural deterioration — ETF outflows, whale distribution, technical breakdowns, and the Strategy sale narrative — with Iran providing the final trigger. Trump's denial that talks collapsed is the most market-relevant development of the day: it preserved just enough diplomatic optionality to prevent a full flush to $60,000. The $64,000–$65,000 support zone held on the first test, which is a meaningful technical data point. Whether it holds on a second test depends on the next Iran headline and Thursday's Fed speeches from Williams and Bowman.        U.S. ADP Employment Data for May Exceeds ExpectationsKey Takeaways:ADP private sector employment rose 122,000 in May — beating the 117,000 consensus estimate and accelerating from April's 109,000The beat reinforces a resilient labor market that continues to give the Fed little cover to pivot toward rate cuts despite slowing growth signals elsewhereStrong labor data arriving alongside hot CPI, PPI, and eurozone inflation readings creates a globally synchronized higher-for-longer rate narrative that is the primary structural headwind for risk assets including cryptoSummary:Back-to-back ADP beats — 109,000 in April, 122,000 in May — confirm the labor market is not softening fast enough to justify a Fed pivot. In isolation, a strong jobs market would be a risk-on positive; in the current context, where inflation is re-accelerating and hike odds sit above 68%, labor resilience just extends the duration of the higher-for-longer regime. Friday's official NFP print will be the definitive read on whether the labor market is genuinely reaccelerating or whether ADP is overstating the strength — either way, the data continues to make the Fed's path toward cuts harder to see.        Oil Prices Rise Amid Stalled US-Iran Talks; AI Stocks Boost Wall StreetKey Takeaways:Oil prices rose on stalled US-Iran negotiations but remained below $100/bbl — suggesting markets are not yet fully pricing a permanent Hormuz closure scenarioEurozone inflation rose to 3.2% in May — likely prompting an ECB rate hike — while European stocks remained resilient; S&P 500 +0.1% to 7,609, Dow +0.5% to 51,307Anthropic filed for an IPO potentially valuing the company at nearly $1 trillion — joining SpaceX ($1.25T post-xAI merger) as a mega-cap AI listing competing for institutional and retail capitalUS April job openings hit a 23-month high, signaling strong corporate labor demand and further complicating the Fed's case for rate cutsAlphabet's $80B AI raise with Berkshire's $10B commitment, Nvidia's laptop expansion, and Marvell's +18% surge continue drawing institutional capital away from crypto at scaleSummary:Wall Street at record highs and oil below $100 despite active US-Iran military exchanges is the market's implicit bet that the peace process survives the latest escalation. That bet is what has kept the broader equity selloff from being worse — and what partially supported Bitcoin's recovery from $65,385 to $67,000. Anthropic's near-$1T IPO filing is the AI capital absorption story's latest chapter: every major AI listing is a direct competition for the risk-on capital that would otherwise flow into Bitcoin ETFs. The AI trade has both the earnings fundamentals and the IPO pipeline to sustain institutional attention well into 2027.     Market movers:ETH: $1877.31 (-4.68%)BNB: $641.96 (-5.27%)XRP: $1.2393 (-1.59%)SOL: $74.92 (-5.07%)TRX: $0.3333 (-2.43%)DOGE: $0.0937 (-5.04%)U: $1.0012 (+0.04%)ZEC: $609.63 (+10.38%)XAUT: $4421.99 (-1.90%)WBTC: $66709.5 (-3.69%)