Bullish / Rebound Case:
Hold $61,383 – $62,000 with strong volume.
Look for reversal candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing) + RSI oversold conditions.
First recovery target: $66k–$68k (reclaim 61.8% Fib).
Stronger recovery: Back to $70k–$72k.
Bearish / Deeper Correction Case:
Breakdown below $61,383 opens the door for a move toward $58k–$55k.
In strong bear markets, BTC can occasionally correct 78.6%–100%, but given the overall long-term bull cycle context, a full retrace to previous cycle lows is less probable unless macro conditions deteriorate sharply.
Summary Recommendation
Key Support to Watch: $61,383 – $62,000
Deep Correction Zone: $58k – $55k (high probability if current support fails)
The chart is in oversold territory on the daily after this violent drop. Watch for capitulation volume or exhaustion signals near the $61k–$62k area.
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