🚨 Everyone’s Bullish… I’m Not After June 15 🚨
The crowd is euphoric, but smart money knows risk events are stacking up. Here’s why I’m fading the hype 👇
1️⃣ Mega IPOs = Liquidity Drain
- $SPCX debut forces institutions to dump liquid mega caps.
- $NVDA , $AAPL, $AMZN — sold to fund IPO allocations.
- $DRAM, $SNDK — smaller names see outflows as capital chases new listings.
2️⃣ Hawkish Fed Shock (June 17)
- Kevin Warsh’s FOMC = higher rate expectations.
- $TSLA, $IONQ, $RKLB — high-duration growth crushed.
- $BE, $ASTS — clean energy & pre-revenue plays repriced hard.
3️⃣ Earnings = Cycle Peak
- $MU, $ORCL mark the top of semis & enterprise.
- $AMD, $MRVL, $NVDA — guidance cuts ripple across AI supply chain.
- $AAOI — optical demand collapses when AI capex narrative cracks.
4️⃣ Midterms = Policy Uncertainty
- $NOW, $VRT, $LITE — enterprise & infra multiples compress.
- $NBIS, $IREN, $KEEL — small caps & crypto miners hit hardest.
- $TE — industrial demand weakens under election volatility.
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⚠️ Translation: June = liquidity squeeze + hawkish Fed + earnings peak + political risk.
The setup screams risk-off rotation.
♻️ Repost + drop 1 comment — I’ll break down the best $SPY put to ride this storm.