What can we expect today (10.06.2026)?
Forecasts for key economic indicators of inflation in the US (for May).
It's all straightforward from here!😂
Price movement scenarios for $BTC after the CPI data release:
Negative scenario (Actual Data > Consensus Forecast):
If the annual inflation comes in above 4.2%, and core inflation above 0.3%, this will be a heavy blow to risk assets. Traders will start pricing in a scenario of prolonged high rates from the Fed.
BTC Reaction: A swift wave of sell-offs is likely, with a break below support and a price drop into the $55,000 - $59,000 zone.
Positive scenario (Actual Data < Consensus Forecast):
If inflation comes in below 4.2% (for example, 4.0% or 4.1%), the market will breathe a sigh of relief, as this will alleviate inflationary pressure.
BTC Reaction: The crypto market will react with a sharp rally. Bitcoin could quickly bounce off the current bottom and surge back towards the $64,000 - $68,000 levels.
Neutral scenario (Actual Data = Consensus Forecast):
If the numbers match expectations (0.5% MoM / 4.2% YoY), there will be a brief spike in volatility in the market (sharp movements up and down to liquidate margin traders' positions), after which the price will stabilize in the current range until official comments from the Fed chair.
Forecasts for key economic indicators of inflation in the US (for May).
It's all straightforward from here!😂
Price movement scenarios for $BTC after the CPI data release:
Negative scenario (Actual Data > Consensus Forecast):
If the annual inflation comes in above 4.2%, and core inflation above 0.3%, this will be a heavy blow to risk assets. Traders will start pricing in a scenario of prolonged high rates from the Fed.
BTC Reaction: A swift wave of sell-offs is likely, with a break below support and a price drop into the $55,000 - $59,000 zone.
Positive scenario (Actual Data < Consensus Forecast):
If inflation comes in below 4.2% (for example, 4.0% or 4.1%), the market will breathe a sigh of relief, as this will alleviate inflationary pressure.
BTC Reaction: The crypto market will react with a sharp rally. Bitcoin could quickly bounce off the current bottom and surge back towards the $64,000 - $68,000 levels.
Neutral scenario (Actual Data = Consensus Forecast):
If the numbers match expectations (0.5% MoM / 4.2% YoY), there will be a brief spike in volatility in the market (sharp movements up and down to liquidate margin traders' positions), after which the price will stabilize in the current range until official comments from the Fed chair.