JAPAN’S SILENT COLLAPSE: THE ¥32.8 TRILLION BLACK HOLE NO ONE IS WATCHING
Japan is facing a financial storm unlike anything in its modern history. The Bank of Japan has posted a record unrealized loss of ¥32.83 trillion, the biggest in 132 years. For the first time since 2008, the central bank is paying out more in interest than it earns. The machine that once printed endless liquidity for the world is now bleeding from within.
Bond yields have broken free of BOJ control—10-year at 1.94%, 30-year at 3.44%, and 40-year above 3.70%, all at historic highs. This marks the sixth straight year of losses, the worst performance among global sovereign bond markets.
Life insurers are sitting on billions in paper losses, and regional banks fall dangerously short of survival thresholds. With debt at 230% of GDP and inflation running hot, Japan can’t tighten without risking collapse—yet it can’t ease without losing credibility.
The world’s biggest monetary experiment is unwinding, and no one knows where it ends.
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