Weekly OTC Insights (12/05/2025)
Bitcoin remains constrained by strong resistance at $93,000, while the market operates with increasing volatility due to the Fed's interest rate decisions (12/10) and the BOJ's (12/19).
The Federal Reserve signals a more dovish stance, influenced by weak labor market data and speculation about the possible appointment of Kevin Hassett to chair the bank in 2026. The market estimates an 80–90% chance of a 25 bps cut in December.
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates after Tokyo's inflation rises to 2.8%. The market prices in a 76–80% chance of a 25 bps increase, which could reduce global liquidity and pressure risk assets.
Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. recorded inflows of $123 million last week, with investors buying dips even amid macro uncertainties. On Tuesday, the strong inflow of $58.5 million helped boost BTC.
In the overall macro scenario, recent indicators show:
Persistent inflation in Japan;
U.S. PMI diverging between S&P (expansion) and ISM (contraction);
Eurozone inflation slightly above expectations;
U.S. ADP report showing a drop of 32,000 jobs, increasing the probability of monetary easing.
The expectation is for greater volatility during the holiday period and lower trading volumes. Despite this, the outlook for improved liquidity in 2026 supports a positive view for BTC and cryptocurrencies at the beginning of next year.
#OTC #bnb #BTC #ETH
$BNB $ETH $BTC
Bitcoin remains constrained by strong resistance at $93,000, while the market operates with increasing volatility due to the Fed's interest rate decisions (12/10) and the BOJ's (12/19).
The Federal Reserve signals a more dovish stance, influenced by weak labor market data and speculation about the possible appointment of Kevin Hassett to chair the bank in 2026. The market estimates an 80–90% chance of a 25 bps cut in December.
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates after Tokyo's inflation rises to 2.8%. The market prices in a 76–80% chance of a 25 bps increase, which could reduce global liquidity and pressure risk assets.
Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. recorded inflows of $123 million last week, with investors buying dips even amid macro uncertainties. On Tuesday, the strong inflow of $58.5 million helped boost BTC.
In the overall macro scenario, recent indicators show:
Persistent inflation in Japan;
U.S. PMI diverging between S&P (expansion) and ISM (contraction);
Eurozone inflation slightly above expectations;
U.S. ADP report showing a drop of 32,000 jobs, increasing the probability of monetary easing.
The expectation is for greater volatility during the holiday period and lower trading volumes. Despite this, the outlook for improved liquidity in 2026 supports a positive view for BTC and cryptocurrencies at the beginning of next year.
#OTC #bnb #BTC #ETH
$BNB $ETH $BTC