$BTC $ETH $SOL Four-Year Cycle: Existence but not 'Carving a Boat to Seek a Sword'

The core of the traditional four-year cycle is the supply contraction brought about by Bitcoin halving, and this logic has not disappeared, but its influence is waning.

Currently, the market is more driven by global liquidity, the flow of institutional funds (such as ETF flows), and other factors, no longer simply following the halving timetable.

Some analysts believe the cycle may extend to five years, or that due to the macro environment presenting atypical trends, sticking to fixed time points is inadvisable.

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