Bitcoin's Price is Near the Bottom, But Demand Collapse Signals No Bull Rally

Bitcoin's price is banging against its realized price, a zone that has historically marked the bottoms of cycles. But donโ€™t get too excited. This isnโ€™t a green light for a bull market. The charts are shouting caution, not celebration.

Demand has evaporated. Weโ€™re witnessing the sharpest drop in overall demand for Bitcoin since early 2022, and spot ETFs are bleeding money. Forget about institutional FOMO; theyโ€™re stepping back, and corporate treasuries are nowhere to be found.

Capitulation is also not complete. Realized losses are just a fraction of what we saw in 2022. This means there are still plenty of holders ready to sell as soon as the price wiggles even a little. Until demand recovers and sellers are truly shaken out, this price level is merely a candidate for a bottom, not a confirmed bottom.

๐Ÿ“Š Expect continued sideways movement or further downward pressure on BTC and altcoins as weak hands are shaken out. A sustained recovery in demand is needed to ignite any significant bull momentum.

When do you think demand for BTC will finally turn around? What price level signals true capitulation? ๐Ÿ‘‡

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