$BTC 17:00–22:30 (Pre-PCE, ongoing)

Current bias: Leaning bullish (60-65% probability of a higher high within 24-48 hours), with the price now at ~$89,600 (up ~1.2% from yesterday's close of ~$88,500, according to CoinMarketCap data). Yesterday was slow sideways (range $88k–$90k, low vol ~2.5%), aligned with low jobless claims (191k, the lowest since 2022) which pressured Fed rate cut expectations—but mixed data (Factory Orders +0.2% MoM Oct, ISM PMI 48.2 contraction) kept DXY at 105.5, delaying BTC momentum. Today PCE (release at 22:30 WIB, core MoM expectation 0.2%, YoY 2.7%) is the pivot: If actual ≤0.1% MoM, "bad news = good news" → DXY dump → risk-on to $91k+.