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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in December?
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its interest rate decision on December 10. This is the date when the results of its December monetary policy meeting will be published, and the market currently anticipates an 89% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Expectations for a rate cut in December have risen, and the market generally expects a 25 basis point reduction. After a rate cut, high-growth sectors such as technology (like semiconductors, AI computing) and brokerage firms typically perform well, with historical data showing an average increase of 10%-15% within four days after a rate cut.
Gold, as a safe-haven asset, performs steadily during rate cut cycles, with international gold prices rising over 20% in 2020. In the current context of geopolitical conflicts and the trend of 'de-dollarization', the value of gold ETF allocations is highlighted. Additionally, a rate cut may weaken the dollar, leading to a relative appreciation of the yuan, which benefits import sectors (such as chips, oil, luxury goods, milk powder, cosmetics), but may put pressure on export sectors (such as home appliances and textiles).
BlackRock’s Bitcoin holdings have risen more than 250% since SEC approval
BlackRock’s (BLK) Bitcoin holdings have surged to a staggering 255.47% of their 2024 levels since SEC approval. The world’s largest asset manager has increased its Bitcoin (BTC-USD) reserves from 303,935 BTC in the second quarter of 2024 to 776,474.65 BTC as of Dec. 1, positioning itself as the dominant institutional player in the cryptocurrency market, according to a report by BestBrokers. “BlackRock’s steady accumulation of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) demonstrates how the market increasingly views the cryptocurrency as a hedge against inflation, tariffs, and broader economic turbulence,” said Alan Goldberg, analyst at BestBrokers. The total assets under management across all Bitcoin ETFs have grown by 53.83% since Q2 2024, reaching 1,309,895.47 BTC by the fourth quarter of 2025. This collective holding now represents approximately 6.72% of the total Bitcoin supply and exceeds the estimated 1,100,000 BTC owned by Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. The 11 SEC-approved spot Bitcoin ETFs have rapidly established themselves as major market forces in less than two years of operation.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has demonstrated dominance in the market, accounting for approximately 96% of the net increase in Bitcoin holdings across all ETFs in Q4 2024.
While most ETFs experienced outflows in recent months, BlackRock (BLK) has continued its acquisition strategy, adding a net 24,411 BTC in the current quarter despite temporary outflows of around 23,226 BTC between Nov. 1 and Dec. 1. The firm’s strategic positioning has proven especially notable during periods of market volatility, according to the BestBrokers team. Even during Q1 2025, when nearly all other funds reported decreasing Bitcoin holdings, BlackRock increased its reserves by 23,588 BTC, more than compensating for the broader market retreat. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #BinanceBlockchainWeek #CryptoRally #IPOWave #blackRock #BTC走势分析 $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT)
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