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蕃茄a
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Every time the market pulls back, it's an opportunity
#事件合约纯赌博
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一、关键点位与趋势#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 - 支撑位:3,050美元(2/8 Murray通道+前日低点)、2,980美元(21 SMA+机构成本区) - 阻力位:3,170美元(4小时MA30均线)、3,200美元(200 EMA+心理关口) - 趋势:受SEC隐私政策讨论及Fusaka升级预期影响,价格在3,050-3,170美元区间震荡。链上数据显示,交易所储备降至1,520万枚(历史低位),巨鲸持仓占比升至15.8%,但衍生品市场未平仓合约下降8%至127亿美元,显示短期投机情绪降温。技术面呈现弱势震荡,RSI(4小时)在45附近徘徊,MACD绿柱收缩,OBV指标与价格背离,暗示空头动能衰减。 二、日内交易策略 多单机会 1. 支撑区低吸 - 条件:价格回踩3,050美元,15分钟K线收阳且成交量放大 - 目标:3,170→3,200美元 - 止损:3,020美元 2. 突破追多 - 条件:有效收复3,170美元(四小时线收于上方) - 目标:3,200→3,310美元 - 止损:3,150美元 空单机会 1. 压力区高空 - 条件:价格触及3,170美元且RSI顶背离 - 目标:3,050→2,980美元 - 止损:3,200美元 2. 破位跟进空 - 条件:跌破3,050美元且成交量放大 - 目标:2,980→2,920美元 - 止损:3,080美元 三、中长期布局建议 1. 现货策略 - 分批建仓:2,980-3,050美元区间逐步买入,重点关注3,050美元支撑 - 核心逻辑:Fusaka升级降低Layer-2成本(预计交易费用下降95%)、质押通缩机制(年销毁率0.5%-1.5%)、机构持仓占比超11%形成价格锚定 2. 机构动向 - ETF资金流入:每日净流入超10亿美元,贝莱德ETF持仓达8.2万枚 - 巨鲸增持:Cypherpunk Technologies计划增持至流通量5% 3. 技术路线催化 - Fusaka升级:12月3日激活,支持Layer-2 TPS突破12,000笔 - Verkle树集成:2026年上线,降低节点存储需求87.5%
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BTC策略分析
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跟上🤭
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#事件合约 上天有好生之德,感谢!
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#ZECUSDT 可以格局一下吗?
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