When will the shares in SpaceX held by employees unlock?
A lot of folks are waiting for the cash-out pressure from employees and early shareholders after the SpaceX IPO. Some have even set up their short positions in advance.
On June 15, during the US trading session, the SpaceX stock has already broken through the high of its first trading day; entering June 16 in the Asian market, related contracts and after-hours quotes continue to rise.
This shows that the short-term chasing funds are still strong, and the market isn't in a rush to trade the unlock selling pressure. Relying solely on the logic of "employees are going to sell their stocks" to short might not be that easy.
However, it's still important to note the unlock timeline.
According to the current plan, SpaceX will announce its first quarterly report after going public, which is on the second trading day after the Q2 2026 report. Up to 20% of the restricted shares that qualify for early unlock will be released first.
Note that this isn't 20% of SpaceX's total shares, nor will all employees' shares be released at once.
It's just that portion of shares that qualify for early unlock, with a maximum of 20% released first.
Additionally, if within the 10 trading days leading up to the first quarterly report, $SPCX has at least 5 trading days where the closing price reaches or exceeds 30% above the issue price, which is $175.50, an extra 10% may also unlock.
From the current price perspective, $SPCX has already hit this threshold.
But the condition is not just a single intraday breach; it must fully satisfy the "5 out of 10 trading days" closing price requirement.
So what we really need to focus on is not just a fixed date, but:
When the first quarterly report is announced, where the stock price stands at that time, and whether the market has already priced in this selling pressure before the unlock. The market generally expects the first quarterly report to be released between late July and early August.
Around early August, we might see the first wave of potential selling pressure from employees and early shareholders.
Of course, unlocking doesn't mean everyone will sell on the same day.
Employees are still restricted by internal trading windows and insider information rules.
And in this market sentiment, even if employees really do reduce their holdings, we need to see if the buy-side can absorb the chips directly.
Trading in SpaceX post-IPO might not be as simple as "unlock = crash" as everyone thinks. Let's continue to calmly wait for trading opportunities.
#马斯克预测spacex年收入万亿美元
A lot of folks are waiting for the cash-out pressure from employees and early shareholders after the SpaceX IPO. Some have even set up their short positions in advance.
On June 15, during the US trading session, the SpaceX stock has already broken through the high of its first trading day; entering June 16 in the Asian market, related contracts and after-hours quotes continue to rise.
This shows that the short-term chasing funds are still strong, and the market isn't in a rush to trade the unlock selling pressure. Relying solely on the logic of "employees are going to sell their stocks" to short might not be that easy.
However, it's still important to note the unlock timeline.
According to the current plan, SpaceX will announce its first quarterly report after going public, which is on the second trading day after the Q2 2026 report. Up to 20% of the restricted shares that qualify for early unlock will be released first.
Note that this isn't 20% of SpaceX's total shares, nor will all employees' shares be released at once.
It's just that portion of shares that qualify for early unlock, with a maximum of 20% released first.
Additionally, if within the 10 trading days leading up to the first quarterly report, $SPCX has at least 5 trading days where the closing price reaches or exceeds 30% above the issue price, which is $175.50, an extra 10% may also unlock.
From the current price perspective, $SPCX has already hit this threshold.
But the condition is not just a single intraday breach; it must fully satisfy the "5 out of 10 trading days" closing price requirement.
So what we really need to focus on is not just a fixed date, but:
When the first quarterly report is announced, where the stock price stands at that time, and whether the market has already priced in this selling pressure before the unlock. The market generally expects the first quarterly report to be released between late July and early August.
Around early August, we might see the first wave of potential selling pressure from employees and early shareholders.
Of course, unlocking doesn't mean everyone will sell on the same day.
Employees are still restricted by internal trading windows and insider information rules.
And in this market sentiment, even if employees really do reduce their holdings, we need to see if the buy-side can absorb the chips directly.
Trading in SpaceX post-IPO might not be as simple as "unlock = crash" as everyone thinks. Let's continue to calmly wait for trading opportunities.
#马斯克预测spacex年收入万亿美元