I’ve seen a lot of chatter about how you can win big on this World Cup by betting on draws.
I did some stats on the known match results, and it’s true that the draw frequency is pretty high.
1:1 has popped up multiple times: Qatar 1:1 Switzerland, Brazil 1:1 Morocco, Canada 1:1 Bosnia, Czech 1:1 South Africa.
In the first two rounds, many matches were conservative, with both sides playing it safe.
But after that, if you keep using this strategy, you’ll need to adjust.
By the third round, the nature changes; some teams absolutely have to win to qualify, drastically reducing the probability of a draw.
Ideal matches for betting on draws: teams with close points, where a draw works for both to qualify.
Not suitable for scenarios where one side must win or strong teams need to boost their goal difference.
To put it simply: pick matches where "both sides can accept a draw" and steer clear of do-or-die games.
@predictdotfun
I did some stats on the known match results, and it’s true that the draw frequency is pretty high.
1:1 has popped up multiple times: Qatar 1:1 Switzerland, Brazil 1:1 Morocco, Canada 1:1 Bosnia, Czech 1:1 South Africa.
In the first two rounds, many matches were conservative, with both sides playing it safe.
But after that, if you keep using this strategy, you’ll need to adjust.
By the third round, the nature changes; some teams absolutely have to win to qualify, drastically reducing the probability of a draw.
Ideal matches for betting on draws: teams with close points, where a draw works for both to qualify.
Not suitable for scenarios where one side must win or strong teams need to boost their goal difference.
To put it simply: pick matches where "both sides can accept a draw" and steer clear of do-or-die games.
@predictdotfun