تحليل#العملات_المشفرة #BTC走势分析
After taking a look at it, this is my assessment:
1. Overall trend
The trend is still bearish on the daily timeframe because:
* The price (60.4k) is still below the EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99.
* The EMA99 is around 71k, which indicates that the long-term uptrend is no longer intact.
2. Is there anything reassuring?
Yes, there is.
* The latest low at 58,115 has held so far.
* It hasn’t broken this low again.
* There is a clear rebound from it.
* The MACD has started improving compared to the previous days. This often means selling pressure is easing, but it is not confirmation that a new upward wave has started.
3. What are the important levels?
* 58,100: the most important current support. A break confirmed by a daily close would be a negative sign.
* Around 61,400: the first resistance.
* 64,300 - 64,900: very strong resistance. If it is surpassed with a daily close, that would be a better sign that the correction may have ended.
Is the 23k nightmare over?
If you want only my technical opinion based on these charts:
Yes— the chance of 23k is currently very low, and it’s not the scenario suggested by the charts.
But I can’t say it’s impossible, because markets can be affected by events outside the chart (such as a global financial crisis or a major political event). The difference between “low probability” and “impossible” is important.
My personal view
If you asked me to choose between the two scenarios right now:
* A drop to 23k.
* Or forming a bottom between 58k and 60k, then recovery
After taking a look at it, this is my assessment:
1. Overall trend
The trend is still bearish on the daily timeframe because:
* The price (60.4k) is still below the EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99.
* The EMA99 is around 71k, which indicates that the long-term uptrend is no longer intact.
2. Is there anything reassuring?
Yes, there is.
* The latest low at 58,115 has held so far.
* It hasn’t broken this low again.
* There is a clear rebound from it.
* The MACD has started improving compared to the previous days. This often means selling pressure is easing, but it is not confirmation that a new upward wave has started.
3. What are the important levels?
* 58,100: the most important current support. A break confirmed by a daily close would be a negative sign.
* Around 61,400: the first resistance.
* 64,300 - 64,900: very strong resistance. If it is surpassed with a daily close, that would be a better sign that the correction may have ended.
Is the 23k nightmare over?
If you want only my technical opinion based on these charts:
Yes— the chance of 23k is currently very low, and it’s not the scenario suggested by the charts.
But I can’t say it’s impossible, because markets can be affected by events outside the chart (such as a global financial crisis or a major political event). The difference between “low probability” and “impossible” is important.
My personal view
If you asked me to choose between the two scenarios right now:
* A drop to 23k.
* Or forming a bottom between 58k and 60k, then recovery