🕵️♂️ Insider information or pure luck? Traders made $410,000 on Polymarket during the arrest of Maduro
Predictive market Polymarket is once again in the spotlight. A mysterious user on Polymarket earned an astonishing $410,000 profit just hours before the U.S. military operation was announced, betting that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be ousted.
Event timeline:
Late December: A new account was created, initially placing small bets on U.S. intervention in Venezuela. Days before the raid: The trader increased their investment, accumulating contracts worth approximately $34,000. At that time, market odds were extremely low (probability as low as 5.5%). Critical moment: When U.S. forces captured Maduro, these contracts surged in value, generating substantial profits.
The large, concentrated bets placed by this new account in a short period have raised serious concerns about potential insider trading. This issue has long been controversial in the relatively lightly regulated predictive market space.
Polymarket and U.S. regulators have not publicly commented on whether this specific transaction is under investigation.
What do you think? Was this a masterful market prediction or a leak of government secrets? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
#Polymarket #Trading #CryptoNews #Maduro #InsiderTrading
