Tensions escalate as the US targets Iran, but the broader geopolitical reality is often overlooked:
Key Context:
Iran increasingly isolated: Beyond Russia, real allies are scarce.
2014: Iran walked away from a major US telecom deal.
2021: After a $400B cooperation deal, Iran pivoted toward India, granting Chabahar Port operations, impacting Pakistanâs Gwadar ambitions.
2023: Relations with Saudi Arabia improved, but any attack could trigger regional missile strikes.
Behind the Scenes:
IranâIndia alignment continued despite conflicts.
Capital trends:
đ Investment flowing out of Iran
đ Investment flowing into Saudi Arabia
Iranâs last leverage: missiles, but they cannot fix:
100x currency devaluation in a decade
Wealth quietly moving West
A fractured domestic economy
Market Implications:
Potential volatility in oil, FX, regional markets, and crypto sentiment.
Spillover could affect global liquidity and safe-haven assets.
đ Volatility isnât coming â itâs already here.
Assets to watch: $ETH
