$BTC
If BTC can firmly hold above $76,500 (it must be a valid breakout, for example, a 4H close above), it means the short-term downward structure is broken, potentially opening up a decent rebound.
Next wave target:
1. First target: $78,500 - $79,000 • Logic: This is the central area of the previous consolidation range ($78k-$80k), and also the starting acceleration point of this round of decline. There will be a lot of trapped positions selling pressure here.
• Nature: The limit of an oversold rebound. If it is a weak rebound, it is likely to stop here.
2. Second target: $80,500 • Logic: Psychological round number + daily level resistance.
• Nature: Only by breaking through here can we declare the end of a major adjustment and return to a bull market trajectory.
3. Extreme target (short squeeze): $82,000 • Logic: If $78k is violently broken, triggering a series of short stop-losses (Short Squeeze), the price may spike to around $82k to hunt for liquidity.
Operational advice:
If it holds above $76,500, you can try to enter a long position with a light position:
• Entry: Confirm a pullback at $76,500.
• Stop-loss: $75,800 (stop-loss if it falls back into the range).
• Take profit: Take profits in batches at $78,200 and $78,800.
But please remember, this is still a rebound in a bear market (Bear Market Rally), don’t be greedy, go in and out quickly.
If BTC can firmly hold above $76,500 (it must be a valid breakout, for example, a 4H close above), it means the short-term downward structure is broken, potentially opening up a decent rebound.
Next wave target:
1. First target: $78,500 - $79,000 • Logic: This is the central area of the previous consolidation range ($78k-$80k), and also the starting acceleration point of this round of decline. There will be a lot of trapped positions selling pressure here.
• Nature: The limit of an oversold rebound. If it is a weak rebound, it is likely to stop here.
2. Second target: $80,500 • Logic: Psychological round number + daily level resistance.
• Nature: Only by breaking through here can we declare the end of a major adjustment and return to a bull market trajectory.
3. Extreme target (short squeeze): $82,000 • Logic: If $78k is violently broken, triggering a series of short stop-losses (Short Squeeze), the price may spike to around $82k to hunt for liquidity.
Operational advice:
If it holds above $76,500, you can try to enter a long position with a light position:
• Entry: Confirm a pullback at $76,500.
• Stop-loss: $75,800 (stop-loss if it falls back into the range).
• Take profit: Take profits in batches at $78,200 and $78,800.
But please remember, this is still a rebound in a bear market (Bear Market Rally), don’t be greedy, go in and out quickly.