1. 2025 Review: Are you earning from 'cognition', or the 'average' of public sentiment?
In 2025, my account delivered a 5-fold return, with a real investment of 4000 dollars nearly doubling. Many people ask me for the secret, but it can be summed up in one sentence: refuse 'average thinker mentality'.
When the market panicked in April, I was 'madly bottom-fishing'; when RKLB hovered around 47 dollars, I made a precise entry, and 20 days later, I exited at 77 dollars, doubling my profit.
Core Logic: The financial market is about identifying the moments when public sentiment makes mistakes. The cryptocurrency market and the US stock market are similar in this regard—the fluctuations in stock prices carry a wonderful rhythm, and they feel very much like twins.
II. 2026 Outlook: The one-sided rise ends, entering 'hunter time.'
After experiencing the AI frenzy from 2023 to 2025, the tone for US stocks in 2026 is: a difficult mean reversion.
AI performance test: The giant that burned hundreds of billions to buy graphics cards will have to look at real profits in 2026. If software revenue falls short of expectations, hardware stocks will experience brutal valuation cuts.
Debt wall impact: The batch of 1% interest rate bonds from 2020 has matured, and now refinancing requires over 4%. Highly indebted zombie companies will face devastating blows.
2026 will be a year of contradictions: high productivity growth but also high unemployment rates; the economy seems to be improving, but it is becoming increasingly difficult for ordinary people to make money. This is no longer a year of 'lying down to win,' but a year of 'hand-to-hand combat.'
III. The 'dimensionality reduction strike' of cryptocurrency people: three paths to fit in.
Since finance has no fresh news, the set of 'not believing in religion, taking profit when seeing it, and steadily bottoming out' in the cryptocurrency world is completely applicable to US tech stocks.
1. If you are a 'BTC hoarding party': steady as an old dog.
Strategy: Ignore the noise, only buy large-cap indices.
Targets: $VOO (S&P 500) or $QQQ (NASDAQ 100).
Rhythm: Enter every time there is a 15% pullback; this kind of return rate is almost guaranteed in the long history of US stocks.
2. If you are a 'shanzhai coin player': narrative catcher.
Strategy: Focus on new main lines. In 2026, pay special attention to SpaceX IPO and the implementation of physical AI (such as Tesla's Cybercab/Optimus).
Pitfall avoidance: Just like turning profits from shanzhai coins into BTC, if you make money in US stocks, please convert it to $VOO or $QQQ.
3. If you are a 'dog-fighting expert': wave hunter.
Strategy: Play short-term emotions.
Profit retention: Exchange the spoils for $XAU (gold) or $BTC (Bitcoin); they are the top safe havens in the turbulent year of 2026.
IV. Pitfall guide: It's leverage, not a lottery.
Many people from the cryptocurrency world enter the US stock market wanting to play options. Let me give you one piece of advice: options are a product under strict mathematical expectation, not a lottery.
If you don't understand Greeks, following blindly is no different from walking a tightrope blindfolded. The macro volatility in 2026 is immense, and novice investors can also achieve considerable returns with the underlying stocks.
Conclusion
2026 will be a watershed year distinguishing 'luck' and 'strength.'
The core of the financial market is to survive first. In this wide-ranging 'hunter era,' let us remain sharp and pick the red roses of productivity from the ruins.
