The last all-time high (ATH) was on October 6, 2025, near US$126,198. �
How does the fall come out?
Drawdown (%) = (ATH − current price) / ATH
= (126,198 − 63,821) / 126,198 ≈ 49% (almost 'mid table').
The important thing: how far 'could' it extend if $BTC history repeats?
Without guessing prices (just comparing with past cycles):
In bull market corrections, historically BTC tends to have strong resets (in ranges like 25–40%).
In confirmed bear markets, much deeper drawdowns have been seen (~75%+ in several cycles).
📌 Translated to levels from the ATH (~126K), to visualize magnitudes:
-50% ≈ 63K → zone where we are today
-65% ≈ 44K → if the pressure extends
-70% ≈ 38K → toughest bear scenario (historical)
It's not a “prediction”, it's a scenario map based on what BTC has already done in other cycles.
💬 Question for the community:
Do you think this is a strong correction within the cycle… or is it already smelling like a full bear?
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