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$BTC has always been a cyclical beast 👀 2013: -87.06% 2017: -83.46% 2021: -78.57% 2025: people see one tiny bounce and immediately scream “TO THE MOON!” — then call me stupid for staying cautious. $ETH
Every cycle, I used to respond:
“Sure, maybe I’m dumb.”
But here’s the truth: When the market pumps, nobody sends me their profits. When it crashes, nobody apologizes.
So in 2025, my answer is simple:
Trade your conviction. If you win — you keep it. If you lose — you own it.
$ZIL and $DOGE shorts have both completed the move and hit targets.
Price followed through exactly the way the setups were mapped out. Sellers stayed in control after entry, momentum kept expanding lower, and neither trade gave a meaningful reversal signal along the way.
If you’re still holding these positions, this is the area to close the trades and secure profits. The bulk of the move has already been delivered, and forcing extra downside rarely pays compared to locking in what the market already gave.
The macro structure on $ZEC is starting to map out where price is most likely to react next.
On this chart, the white fib is drawn using a trend-based setup, while the yellow fib is pulled from the major swing low to the swing high. Personally, I give more weight to the standard swing fib here because it tends to align better with broader market structure when price starts rotating on higher timeframes.
What I’m mainly watching is where fib levels start lining up with HTF support zones. When you get that kind of confluence, those areas usually become natural reaction zones where price either slows down, gets absorbed, or attempts a bounce.
The deeper fib levels only become relevant if the market shifts into a much weaker structural phase. I’m not trying to predict exact price targets here — this is more about mapping where $ZEC would logically react if downside pressure continues or if structure starts rebuilding.
$ZIL , $DOGE and $BIRB shorts are all following the plan nicely. Sellers have stayed in control across these setups, downside momentum is holding, and structure continues to lean in favor of the trades. The moves have already delivered solid progress from entry. If you’re in these positions, you can consider taking early profits or move your SL back to entry and let the trades continue from a risk-free position while momentum remains on your side.
$ARC bounce looks weak, sellers are leaning on every push.
Short $ARC ( max 10x) Entry: 0.0795 – 0.0815 SL: 0.0890 TP1: 0.0755 TP2: 0.0720 TP3: 0.0685
Upside attempts keep losing strength and buyers don’t look willing to defend moves higher. Selling pressure shows up consistently whenever price tries to expand, while downside moves are starting to flow cleaner. The tape feels heavy with supply controlling the pace, so continuation lower still looks favored if that pressure stays in place.
Sellers stayed in control after entry, momentum leaned lower, and structure hasn’t given buyers a real reclaim yet. The move is developing the way it should.
If you’re in the trade, you can move your SL back to entry and let the position run from a protected spot while the setup continues to play out.
Mike On The Move
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Bajista
$ZIL bounces keep getting sold, sellers are slowly taking control here.
Every push up has been fading pretty fast and buyers don’t look confident holding moves higher. Selling pressure keeps showing up right when price tries to expand, while pullbacks start to stretch more naturally. The flow feels more like distribution with sellers leaning on resistance, so downside continuation still looks favored if that pressure stays active.
Moves higher are getting sold into pretty quickly and buyers aren’t able to hold momentum after each push. The tape feels offered with supply showing up consistently, while pullbacks are expanding cleaner. Flow is leaning more toward distribution with sellers defending the move, so downside continuation looks favored if pressure keeps building.
Upside attempts are getting faded quicker and buyers aren’t following through after the bounce. Selling pressure keeps showing up whenever price tries to stretch higher, while pullbacks are starting to move more freely. The flow feels like distribution forming near resistance, so continuation to the downside looks more likely if sellers keep pressing here.
Every push up has been fading pretty fast and buyers don’t look confident holding moves higher. Selling pressure keeps showing up right when price tries to expand, while pullbacks start to stretch more naturally. The flow feels more like distribution with sellers leaning on resistance, so downside continuation still looks favored if that pressure stays active.
Selling pressure faded pretty quickly after the pullback and price started grinding back up with buyers defending structure well. LTF momentum is turning in favor of continuation with dips getting absorbed instead of expanding lower. Flow looks like quiet accumulation rather than distribution, so upside expansion still looks favored if buyers keep control.
Extremely choppy between $0.53–$0.60. Absolute no-trade zone until one of these boundaries breaks.
Still not recommending longs on this chart until there's a clear macro uptrend. Over the last 4 months, every long trying to ride a reversal has been wiped out. The downtrend has been relentless.
Once that $0.53 critical zone cracks, expecting $0.50 to get tagged again. Still looks like it wants much lower before any real consolidation.$ASTER
Close above $0.60 = stalls the bleeding temporarily.
The ideal scenario for bulls right now is an extended consolidation phase. Without it, there's not enough liquidity or momentum to sustain any real upside.
$SYN pullback looks defended, buyers starting to lean back into structure.
Long SYN Entry: 0.085 – 0.089 SL: 0.0825 TP1: 0.0905 TP2: 0.0930 TP3: 0.0955
$SYN swept lower and quickly found bids stepping in, showing early signs of sell-side absorption. The downside push lost momentum fast while price started reclaiming short-term structure. Order flow is shifting back toward buyers and the move currently looks like a corrective retrace within a potential continuation phase.
$SYN pullback looks defended, buyers starting to lean back into structure.
Long SYN Entry: 0.085 – 0.089 SL: 0.0825 TP1: 0.0905 TP2: 0.0930 TP3: 0.0955
$SYN swept lower and quickly found bids stepping in, showing early signs of sell-side absorption. The downside push lost momentum fast while price started reclaiming short-term structure. Order flow is shifting back toward buyers and the move currently looks like a corrective retrace within a potential continuation phase.
$ZKP long delivered the full move and cleared every target.
Price reacted exactly where buyers were expected to show up, then kept pushing with steady momentum and strong structure. Every pullback held higher, and the continuation never really gave sellers a chance to take control.
I ended up closing my position earlier just to secure profits and manage exposure. Would holding to full TP pay more? Sure. But locking gains when the trade already worked is part of staying consistent. The setup did its job, and overall this was a clean, well-executed win.
Mike On The Move
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Alcista
$ZKP — sell-off losing follow-through, support starting to hold.
$ZKP flushed into a clean demand zone and quickly saw buyers step in. The downside move failed to extend with clear rejection on the lows, while momentum is starting to stabilize. This looks like absorption after a corrective drop, favoring a recovery push as long as price holds above support.
$ETH just got tapped down and buyers immediately leaned into the dip.
Long ETH Entry: 2,250 – 2,310 SL: 2,150 TP1: 2,360 TP2: 2,440 TP3: 2,540
$ETH flushed liquidity below and snapped back fast, showing clear absorption sitting around demand. Selling pressure faded pretty quickly after the drop while price started grinding back up, which usually means sellers lost control of momentum. Structure still looks like it’s holding the bullish flow, this move feels more like a reset before continuation.
$WLFI and $ZKP longs — I’m closing early at this level.
Both trades have already delivered solid profit, and I’m choosing to secure gains here while the move is still favorable. If you’re in from the setups, you can close to lock profits, or move your SL back to entry and continue holding from a protected position.
$BTC showed a sharp downside sweep followed by immediate buyer response, signaling absorption after the flush. Sellers failed to maintain momentum while structure is attempting to stabilize, which often leads to short-term continuation upward. This setup leans toward a fast corrective bounce as long as demand keeps reacting.
Buyers showed up where expected and price is holding structure with momentum staying supportive. If you’re in from the setup, move your SL back to entry and let the position run from a risk-free spot.
Trade is now in management mode.
Mike On The Move
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Alcista
$HYPE holding demand after the flush, buyers trying to regain control.
$HYPE pulled back into the 32 demand zone and printed strong rejection, showing buyers absorbing sell pressure. The downside lost momentum quickly with price stabilizing back above support and failing to make continuation lower. Structure still leans bullish while price holds above 30–31, with room for a push back toward the 36 and 40 resistance zones if momentum builds.
$BTC just closed a full daily candle back above both macro trend rails, and that’s not something to ignore.
These rails have been pressing price down for a long stretch, so reclaiming them changes the tone. It shows sellers are losing control at a structural level, while buyers are finally starting to push price back into acceptance above major dynamic resistance.
What matters now isn’t the breakout itself, it’s whether $BTC can stay comfortable trading above these rails. Holding above keeps momentum leaning constructive and gives the market space to rebuild structure. Losing it would likely turn this into another fake reclaim, but for now, buyers have finally created some breathing room.
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