La baisse actuels du $BTC et des cryptomonnaies en général s’inscrit dans une phase de marché connue sous le nom de bear market, ce n’est pas nouveau, c’est bien connu. De :
> déc 2013 - fév 2015 : le bitcoin est passé de 1 156,15 $ à 171,50 $
> fév 2015 - déc 2017 : 171,50 $ à 20 089$
> déc 2017 - déc 2018 : 20 089 $ à 3 191,30 $
> déc 2018 - nov 2021 : 3 191,30 $ à 68 789,63 $
> nov 2021 - nov 2022 : 68 789,63 $ à 15 599,04
> nov 2022 - oct 2025 : 15 599,04 $ - 126 198,07 $
Remarquez que chaque phase de baisse dure en moyenne environ 1an et que le creux (ou prix le plus bas) de chacun d’eux est supérieur à son précédent. Dans cette logique on peut affirmer que le creux de cette baisse en cours sera au dessus des 15 599,04 $ et sera atteint autour du mois d’octobre 2026.
Le buy the dips
Le faite que le creux (ou prix le plus bas) de chaque bear market soit supérieur à celui du bear market précédent prouve que malgré les phases de baisses, la tendance à long terme du bitcoin est sans doute haussière. Avec cette tendance, acheter du bitcoin est synonyme de profit si vous êtes prêt à détenir assez longtemps pour le réaliser, d’où le HODL (détenir sans vendre par panique).
Le creux du marché baissier est le point d’achat avec le plus de retour sur investissement. Mais étant donné que les analyses de marché ne peuvent pas prédire avec certitude le creux (ou le prix le bas) que le marché atteindra lors du marché, l’on recommande lors d’un marché baissier des achats par la méthode du DCA afin de capter un prix moyen optimal.
Honnêtement que faisiez-vous avant de lire cet article et que feriez-vous désormais ? Vendre ? HOLD ? ou Achetez la baisse ?
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Just to clarify: token concentration in itself is not necessarily a problem. It depends on the team and the objective behind it.
The issue usually comes from massive concentration without clear explanation.
For example, a team controlling a large part of the circulating supply but with clear transparency, clear communication, and well-defined reasons behind it - can be justified. After all, there is an entity managing the project.
But concentration with no transparency, no justification, no clear reason is a major red flag. That’s often the classic setup for a rug pull: concentrate the tokens, attract buyers, then dump massively on the market.
So it’s important to do your due diligence. When you come across a token with high concentration among top holders, try to check : > Has the team communicated about it? > Is there transparency behind it?
Whenever you are trying to trade, or whenever you want to trade a token, please at least try to check the due diligence and audit section. It gives you a quick “do your own research” overview of the token.
I’m sharing this based on the $RAVE situation lately. There was clear information about token distribution, top holders, liquidity, even the contract mint functionality.
You can also use AI right there to summarize all the key information as a quick briefing.
So yeah, just a reminder to use it every time you want to trade.
Because sometimes… the information is right there - people just choose to ignore it.
Un conseil aux traders : l’analyse technique ne prévoit pas les manipulations, ne prévoit pas les pump and dump, les problèmes de liquidité, le manque de profondeur dans les pools, les annonces économiques, les tweets…
Donc si tu trades en crypto, comprends ces basiques-là et sache exactement les prendre en compte avec ton analyse.
Oui, tu peux faire de l’analyse technique. Mais il faut aussi prendre en compte d’autres aspects qui ne sont pas intégrés dans cette analyse et qui peuvent fortement influencer le prix du marché.
Avant de trader un token, pose-toi la bonne question : 👉 si plus de 99% de l’offre est contrôlée par quelques initiés, tu veux vraiment te baser uniquement sur l’analyse technique ? 👉 ou tu penses vraiment pouvoir prévoir le prix même en cas d’annonces ou de mouvements inattendus ?
Comprend ces facteurs et intègre les dans ton analyse !!!
You ignored Bitcoin. You ignored DCA on Bitcoin - for what? Because you think it can’t do x10, x50 in a year like your altcoins?
So you went ‘all’ into low caps.
And now look how you’re getting wrecked.
In just a few weeks, so many tokens with highly questionable price action $STO , $RAVE , …
Repeated patterns. Suspicious moves. Pure manipulation to extract liquidity.
Let’s be honest - it’s the same game over and over: pump → attract → trap → dump.
Meanwhile, a simple DCA on $BTC over the past 5 years showed +80%+ returns - without stress, without charts, without chasing hype.
But you decided to get fully exposed… and now you’re paying the price. My advice for you (NFA) : Allocate a portion of your portfolio to high caps starting with bitcoin.
So now the real question is: 👉 what lesson are you taking from this?
Le pump and dump est-il maintenant une spécialité officielle de génération de revenus pour les projets ?
$SIREN $STO $RAVE , etc
Franchement parlant, en l’espace de quelques semaines il y’en a tellement eu que , vraiment il peuvent maintenant l’officialiser comme moyen de génération de revenus. Pffff
After a scenario straight out of a science-fiction movie - a massive pump that lasted for days, to the point where traders kept asking: when is this thing finally going to dump? Everyone knew it would eventually dump… the real question was when and how high would it go first?
And coincidentally, right when the alert was raised around the case and the attention of major exchanges like Binance got drawn to the token, that’s when it started dumping.
A movie-like scenario. A clear case of strong market manipulation.
But the real question is not just that it dumped - > how many people actually profited from the dump?
Because honestly, it feels like they’re playing with traders. When you short, they seems push the price slightly higher to liquidate positions… and then continue the dump.
So really - who here actually caught the move? Share your positions in the comments.
🚨 $RAVE is already down -32% today after growing pressure on X.
Attention is amplifying since the investigation call from ZachXBT, and more and more KOLs are posting about it. This will inevitably attract the attention of Binance.
Now the real question is whether any rules have actually been violated. Even if they are buying massively to push the price up, it remains to be seen if that is enough for exchanges to apply any sanctions.
ATH $28 ? $RAVE is becoming more and more questionable. It’s getting increasingly obvious now.
On-chain analyst ZachXBT has just raised an alert directly under Rave team’s tweet , calling out CEOs, calling out exchanges, calling out Binance and other platforms to take responsibility and look into the ping-pong movements of Rave.
He even announced a $10,000 bounty for any information that could prove or reveal the parties involved.
This is where it gets interesting.
If you identify any party involved in this operation, you can reach out to him on X and compete for a share of the $10,000 reward.
He stated that this is a personal initiative to support and incentivize deeper analysis of what’s going on.
Stay tuned for more updates on how this situation unfolds.
Only around 24% of the total supply of RAVE is in circulation, and more than 99% of that is held by the top 10 holders. That means only a few people actually control the circulating supply - and therefore, they control the market.
In other words, a few players have the influence necessary to move the price however they want. They have no pressure to dump right now. They can keep pushing the price higher, pumping it as much as they want until they feel they’ve extracted maximum profit.
After that… they can decide to dump.
A lot of traders are trying to short the token, but the price keeps going up. Why? Because it’s actually easier for them to push the price higher since they control it. When they see a lot of shorts, they push the price even higher to liquidate those positions and each liquidation creates a buy order on the market.
So short liquidations are literally fueling the pump.
At some point, when people stop shorting and start going long or buying heavily… that’s probably when they will decide to dump.
They are basically playing with traders. They react to what users are doing.
So the best thing you can do - especially if you’re a beginner or still learning - is to stay away from this token.
If you really know what you’re doing and have a clear plan, that’s different.
There are hundreds of other tokens on Binance, and even more on-chain via Binance Wallet / Binance Alpha.
Go explore better opportunities.
What do you think about it? Let me know in the comments.