Swallow Academy

Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!

Buyers and sellers are fighting over the local support zone on $SHIB , which will decide if we dump harder or see a recovery toward the 200EMA.

Let’s be real, the market is oversold currently and there is no strong logical reason for SHIB to dip much more (maybe just a liquidity sweep). So what we are looking for here is a proper recovery and buyers taking back control of this zone. Once that happens, we look for longs. #SHIBPriceAnalysis

$DOGE has a similar setup like some other altcoins, where price is sitting near the major support area (or in more direct terms, a zone of liquidity).

If everything plays out nice and clean, we should see a recovery at least to the first target zone, which gives us around a 1:2 RR setup — more than good.

So as long as price stays above the local support, this is the game plan. Seeing small signs of buyside dominance already, so eyes on the zone. #DOGEPriceAnalysis

$SOL is sitting right at the major support zone, which combined with 2 bullish CME gaps, the oversold RSI and the fact that EMAs are way too far from the market price might mean that we are in a really good position for a short-term recovery here.

Now the main thing for us here is the support zone. If this breaks, we most likely dip to $81, but as long as price stays around the $100 area we are looking for recovery. #SOLPriceAnalysis

We are waiting for the "ideal entry" area to be tested and broken in the upcoming days on $BTC , which would open for us the upside movement right here.

The EMAs are far from the market price; the recently formed CME gap is way too huge not to fill it, and we have seen so far 3 attempts to recover the downside movement we had (by attempts we mean the bullish moves where volume was building up but then got suppressed by sellers).

The odds are decent so we wait and aim for $84K to be reached! #BTCPriceAnalysis

$AVAX has reached the major support zone, where we are open to a really good trading setup. The EMAs are far from market price and we are seeing signs of recovery from this major support area.

What happens now is pretty simple, we take the long here. The R:R and odds are too good not to take the risk. Expecting a decent upside movement from here. #AVAXPriceAnalysis

Sellers have been taking a lot of liquidity on $LINK where price is still moving inside these “liquidity sweep” zones.

What we are looking for here is an exit from this zone, which most likely will happen (just like it has the last few times). So what we expect is a simple bounce toward the upper resistance zone, where the next decision area is sitting.

If we break out, we go higher. If we don’t, then we fall and can catch a sellside move. #LINKPriceAnalysis

Swallow Academy

$POL has reached one important support area, from where last time we had a really good upside movement.

Now taking that into consideration, and also the fact that we have 2 bullish CME gaps left over (where the upper one is near the EMAs). Setup looks bullish, so as long as price holds above the support zone we are looking for at least the fill of those bullish CME gaps. #POLPriceAnalysis

$ARB looks like it’s slowly waking up from the lows. Buyers started to show some reaction here and we’re seeing early signs of recovery.
Game plan is simple — we want that clean MSB around $0.1417 first.

Once structure flips, the nearest CME gap becomes the first magnet. After that, there’s still that big FVG sitting above which price usually likes to come back and fill. #ARBPriceAnalysis

Hard times for $ETH , where the price just kept on dipping and dipping, leading the price to almost break the crucial neckline area, which would tank the price.

But we are seeing smaller signs of recovery, which, if buyers keep on pushing, might result in a decent movement and an opportunity for a long position as well. So as long as we are above the neckline area, that is the move we seek; if we break, then well...we are doomed haha. #ETHPriceAnalysis

What a sharp end of last week we had on the $BTC , where price dipped to the neckline zone and now we are hovering around this zone while seeing smaller signs of recovery happening.

What we are thinking here is that as long as the price remains above the neckline zone, the ideal play would be to form the right shoulder here, which would finish off the perfect H&S pattern and would give us an even better entry for the big upcoming short position we are expecting.

For now, we are looking for a recovery. #BTCPriceAnalysis

$HBAR is not looking good. After breaking the bounce zone, sellers secured it with a proper re-test, and now price has also broken the local lows. This looks like a potential break of structure, assuming sellers manage to hold this breakdown.

If that happens, this would be the confirmation we need, which could send price back toward the major support zone sitting around $0.05. #HBARPriceAnalysis

$XRP seems to be getting ready for a solid short opportunity. Buyers got pushed back by the EMAs, and now we are seeing increasing pressure from sellers, which could very likely end in a breakdown.

Maybe this move plays out simply because XRP never really moves with the rest of the market, or maybe not — but from our perspective, this setup makes sense. Even if the broader market pushes higher, XRP historically tends to get sold into strength.

P.S: Red zone is DCA zone #XRPPriceAnalysis

A steady downside movement has been happening on $ETH after the last touch to the $3,400 resistance area, where currently the price is sitting slightly above the smaller support area, where buyers are still holding the dominance over this zone.

The plan is very simple; as we have seen some struggle already from the sellers, we are expecting the weekend market to pass in sideways movement, after which we will be looking for some kind of breakout or proper dominance from buyers, which should turn into a volatile breakout.

This is the ideal situation, but it will only happen if we see the breakout. If not, we can look for a short. #ETHPriceAnalysis

$BTC is hitting back into the $80K support zone, which is a crucial zone for us, as if this zone is going to be broken, we are going to be entering into the bearish market.

The "last hope" zone, as we call it, is the only thing that is holding us from shorting the markets currently. If this zone is broken and we are shorting but meanwhile we are still above this zone and buyers maintain some kind of dominance, we are looking for recovery.

So it all comes down to that zone, the zone of last hope. More clarity we will get at the start of the new week, which will also be the start of the new month. #BTCPriceAnalysis

$LTC is again reacting from the same support zone we have seen multiple times in the past. Every time price comes into this area, we usually see a strong reaction to the upside. Right now we are sitting exactly at that zone again, so the focus is on whether buyers can step in and defend it.

As long as this support holds, upside potential remains very attractive. Breakdown below this area would invalidate the setup, otherwise this is a solid zone to watch for continuation higher. #LTCPriceAnalysis

$KAS is approaching the zone of decision, where the moment of truth will unfold. Either we see buy-side dominance and a proper MSB form, or we break down and get a good downside move from there.

Until then, we wait for price to reach this zone and give us more clarity. A good trade is coming — all we need is a clean MSB or a breakdown. #KASPriceAnalysis

$BNB looks weak here and the bearish CME below is still unfilled, which makes it a very logical magnet. For now the plan is simple: let price dip into that CME area and then watch how structure reacts. If we get a clean MSB there, that’s where a long starts to make sense. Tight invalidation, solid upside if structure flips. #BNBPriceAnalysis

While we are looking for the major move to happen after the breakout of the EMAs on the $ETH , there is a smaller trading setup forming here that can be taken from the current market price up until the zone of EMAs.

Buyers seem to be getting back into the dominance currently, with buyers slowly reversing the trend. We are bullish on the smaller timeframe as long as price holds the local support zone.

So 2 trading setups can be taken here; one is bigger, and the other is smaller. For the bigger trade after the EMA, we have to wait for a proper breakout of the EMAs. #ETHPriceAnalysis

$BTC seems to be going for a reversal, where buyers are once again showing dominance near the current zone (which can be marked as a support area from where the price likes to bounce).

The ultimate trade would be here, the movement above the EMAs, which would open for us a trading opportunity toward the $110K area, which is our major target.

Meanwhile, if we move to the 200 EMA, we might as well open a smaller trade here (which would be targeting the 200 EMA and local high zone).

To make this trade worth it, the size of entry should be divided into 3 entries and spread across the red zone so keep that in mind (to have a decent R:R ratio for short-term trades). #BTCPriceAnalysis