Ade_Krypt

$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.

At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.

Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.

Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.

If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.

For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.

#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed

$BTC

People are calling the bottom far too early once again.

We’re only 212 days into this bear market, not even close to the average cycle duration, yet sentiment is already turning bullish.

Every cycle follows a similar pattern. A relief rally appears, optimism returns, and suddenly many start believing the bottom is already in.

That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
But several key signs of a real bottom are still missing, repeated liquidity sweeps, a confirmed higher timeframe market structure shift on the weekly chart, and full capitulation across the market.

Of course, cycles evolve and historical patterns aren’t guaranteed to repeat perfectly.

Still, claiming the bottom formed after only four months would mean this cycle ended nearly three times faster than previous Bitcoin bear markets.

Personally, I still believe lower prices are likely and that the true bottom has not formed yet.

My outlook only changes if Bitcoin breaks above the $97k level and invalidates the current bearish higher timeframe structure.
#BlackRockPlansMoneyMarketFundsforStablecoinUsers #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14

$BTC

Here’s the scenario I’m watching over the next 7 days.

There’s a big liquidity cluster sitting above pwH around 78.2k, and in my opinion, it doesn’t get front-run. Most CT “normies” are eyeing that 78k breakout thinking price will instantly send to 86k once it clears.
I see it differently.

To me, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the start of a real breakout.
Does that mean we never revisit 78–80k?
Not at all.

The key level I’m focused on is 79k, but I don’t think we head there immediately. First, I expect price to sweep pwL around 74.3k, then push into the 79–80k region.

What happens above 79k will be very important because that’s where we’ll find out if price is truly heading for the mH sweep or not.

I’ve been calling for the 82.8k mH sweep for over a week now, and I still believe we tap that level before the real top forms and the larger dump begins.

Another reason I lean bearish longer term: BTC has never closed 3 consecutive green monthly candles before. That’s why I think price eventually closes back below mO, then retests the highs again next month to properly form the macro top.

I’ll revisit this post once we’re back below 75k.

And if you believe we’re about to follow the “straight to 86k” normie playbook instead.

Counter-trade me, post your setup, and tag me.

#EthereumHegotaUpgradePrivacyTransfers #HYPEBrieflySurpassesDOGE

$BTC

Bitcoin update, overall outlook remains unchanged from yesterday.

The impulsive structure is still intact, and in my view the larger sell-off likely hasn’t happened yet. From here, traders need to decide whether to hedge exposure around the $78.5K–81K resistance zone or gradually reduce spot positions.

The bearish outlook would only be invalidated by a confirmed break above $82.8K. If that level is reclaimed, we’d need to shift toward a more bullish deviation scenario. Until then, the probability of a deeper correction remains high.

My main expectation is still a move toward the $54K–48K range, where Bitcoin could finally form a broader bottom and complete the larger corrective structure.

Ideally, price prints another clean three-wave rally before the next leg down. Wave 2 recoveries are often sharp and convincing enough to make the market believe a bullish reversal is underway before the trend rolls over again.

If we get a more defined three-wave push higher, downside targets can be mapped out with greater precision. For now, the broader resistance zone between $78.5K and $81K remains the key area to monitor.

Another important point: the final decline toward the $55K region should likely unfold impulsively in a five-wave structure. That said, corrective Wave 5 moves are usually messy, volatile, and difficult to count accurately.

Because of that, it’s better not to obsess over every small wave near the end of the move. The bigger focus should remain on the broader downside target zone between roughly $54.6K and $48K.

#TrumpSaysIranDealLargelyNegotiated #WhiteHouseShooting

$BTC

Price broke below mO and swept the equal lows around 74.9k.

Most of the downside liquidity has now been taken, and price is sitting at a strong support zone.

A large number of longs have already been flushed out, while late shorts are starting to pile in at these levels.

Historically, setups like this often lead to a local bottom followed by a relief bounce.
Because of that, I’m expecting a bounce or re-test toward the 78k–80k region.

There’s also a significant amount of liquidity resting above 78k, which makes that area a likely target on any recovery move.

Beyond that, heavy liquidity remains above the mH at 82.8k, which could be tapped if BTC manages to reclaim and hold above 80k.

On the lower timeframes, there are no major support levels visible, although price could still extend lower into the 73k–73.5k range to sweep remaining liquidity first.

#BitcoinBreaksBelow75KAsWarshTakesFedHelm #FenwickWestSettlesFTXFor54M

🟥🟥 BTC LIMIT SHORT TRADE 🟥🟥

ENTRY: 75 972
STOP LOSS: 77 884
TAKE PROFIT: 73 831

$BTC remains in a strong downtrend.

However, I believe it is not very wise to short right now.

I prefer to wait for a correct entry just below 76 000$.

This trade will be part of the 500 to 5000$ challenge and I will risk 100$ on this one.

#ECBOpposesEuroStablecoinExpansion #USDCCirculationUp400MWeekly

$BTC LONG UPDATE 📈

On the 2H timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading inside a strong bullish trend structure.
A solid bottom has now formed, and every attempt to create an equal low keeps failing.

That’s a warning sign for bears, especially with price continuing to print higher lows and higher highs.

If momentum stays strong, BTC could push toward 78.5k and possibly 79k under favourable market conditions. That remains my target zone to close my long position.
For now, nothing has changed in my plan — still holding longs.
#USCourtDeniesKalshiPolymarketPause #CryptoMarketCapNears2.6T

$BTC tapped the weekly imbalance and saw a rejection there.

I already took profit on my longs after the first IRL target was cleared.

Price also swept the 77.8K previous daily high, which strengthens the chances of the 76.5K PDL holding as support.

From the higher timeframe perspective, we already lost the previous weekly low and have now filled the 78.2K weekly imbalance.

Sadly, I missed the A+ short setup because it happened while I was asleep. No reason to chase the move now though — I’d rather wait for cleaner confirmations instead of forcing a trade.

This recent push likely trapped a lot of late FOMO longs, while volume started fading. Because of that, a deeper pullback wouldn’t be surprising at all. If price respects the 76.5K PDL and gives me confirmation, I’ll probably look for a range-trade long setup.

My preferred short zone would be near 79K, but I’m not trying to predict the market. If $BTC keeps dropping and loses the PDL, I’ll instead watch for short opportunities on a retest.

Right now, price is stuck between bullish and bearish pressure, so patience matters more than forcing entries.
#FedRateHikeProbability52% #StablecoinsOutpaceTokenizedMMFs

Gold pulling back from recent highs while top tech stocks face pressure is showing how selective markets have become. Companies like $NVDA and Microsoft still benefit from strong AI demand and cash flow, while other Mag 7 names are struggling to maintain momentum after massive rallies.

$XAU correction also feels more like a reset than a collapse. With inflation concerns, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions still active, many investors may continue viewing gold as a long-term hedge.

Crude oil remains volatile as traders balance slowing global growth against ongoing supply risks.

This market rewards patience, strong fundamentals, and disciplined risk management over hype chasing.
#PostonTradFi $XAU

$BTC

Another reason this structure doesn’t resemble a classic bear flag.

In typical bear flags, the consolidation phase is usually less than 50% of the size of the initial drop (the flagpole).

Most bear flags tend to follow two key characteristics:

1.They usually resolve within 4–5 weeks.

2. The consolidation stays relatively tight compared to the size of the original breakdown.

Neither condition is being respected here.

This structure has now expanded into almost a 1:1 ratio with the original decline, while still rotating within a multi-month ascending channel.

Because of that, any downside breakdown is likely to be a slower, more prolonged process rather than the sharp continuation move normally seen in a traditional bear flag setup.

#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed #USGOPSeeksPermanentCBDCBan

$BTC starts a new trading week with a fresh setup.

Bitcoin has already taken out the previous daily and weekly lows, which shifts short-term probability lower for reclaiming the 82.3K prior weekly high this week, and also makes a move back to the 78.6K daily high less likely intraday.

Structurally, the market is leaning bearish after the rejection from 82.8K, with an obvious downtrend now forming. My intraday bias remains bearish as a result.
That said, we’re currently testing key higher-timeframe levels that act as long points of interest. A daily imbalance in the range extremes has been filled, right around the monthly open, which makes short-term long scalps reasonable.

I’m viewing any long setups here strictly as intraday bounces within a broader local downtrend, not a trend reversal.

I’m not shorting into support, but for continuation shorts, I’ll be watching price reaction around the 77.8K imbalance.
If we reclaim 78.6K (previous daily high) with a clear bullish displacement, that would signal a potential bullish clear out, opening up continuation longs.

Overall, I’m still positioned short and open to adding on tests of high quality POIs.
Good luck this week.

#SpaceXEyes2TIPO #BlackRockAdds3.14MMSTRShares

Bitcoin is under pressure right now, and here’s why.

Three major factors are weighing on $BTC :

1. US Producer Price Index came in hotter than expected, signaling inflation may be rising again. That lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.

2. Institutional selling is increasing. RIOT reportedly sold 3,686 BTC in 2026, while MARA posted over $1B in Q1 losses. Some firms that accumulated near the highs are now reducing exposure.

3. Traditional markets are attracting capital. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are pushing fresh all-time highs, pulling investor attention away from crypto.

But there’s one bullish development many are overlooking:

The CLARITY Act just passed the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan backing, and a full Senate vote could happen within weeks.

Key Bitcoin levels to monitor:

→ $78K — immediate support
→ $75K — next major support if downside continues
→ $82K — key resistance bulls need to reclaim

This isn’t only a crypto issue.

It’s a macro-driven market environment.

And macro conditions eventually shift.

#DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush #DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush

If $BTC bull market rallies have become slower and more gradual over time, it makes sense that bear market rallies would evolve the same way too.

In 2018, relief rallies were sharp and aggressive, with the biggest rebound climbing nearly +90% before continuing lower.

By 2022, those rallies became less explosive and more extended, with the strongest move reaching around +50% before rolling over again.

And in 2026 so far, the same pattern is still playing out. Price action has become slower, momentum weaker, and the current rally has pushed roughly 40% from the lows.

Bear markets are evolving just like bull markets. No cycle has repeated with the exact same volatility structure as the previous one.

As Bitcoin’s market cap grows and liquidity deepens, both impulsive moves and counter-trend rallies naturally become more compressed and time-consuming rather than vertical.

That’s why time itself remains one of the biggest traps in this market.
The longer price slowly trends higher without fully invalidating the bearish structure, the more traders begin believing the bottom is already in.

But until $BTC reclaims and breaks above the previous lower high, I’m still not convinced the bear market is over.

#SouthKoreaNPSIncreasesStrategyStake #SolanaTreasuryQ1SPSUp108

$BTC is looking very interesting today.

Yesterday, Bitcoin swept the higher timeframe IRL, and the ~$79,845 PDL continues to hold strong as support.

I’m already positioned in a long from yesterday’s sweep, and I’ll consider adding more if price sweeps the ~$80,408 IRL and confirms my entry trigger.

For today, the key bullish objective is reclaiming the ~$81,785 PDH. If that level gets taken, the probability of holding the PDL increases significantly. From there, I’ll be watching the 4H price action closely for continuation setups.

Looking at the bigger picture this week, the main bullish target sits around the ~$82,853 PWH. If price secures that level, I’ll continue looking for additional long opportunities.

My shorts are still active and already secured partial profits. I’m only interested in adding more shorts if Bitcoin loses the ~$78,000 level.

Good luck trading today everyone.

#BinanceOnline #TrumpVisitsChina

$BTC is sitting at a key decision zone right now.

Since yesterday, Bitcoin has been trading between the previous day’s high (PDH) and previous day’s low (PDL), showing clear signs of market indecision and range compression.

This type of price action usually appears around major make-or-break levels, so I’m staying patient and focusing on specific scenarios rather than forcing trades inside the range.

Any positions taken within the compression would only be quick scalp trades.
For higher-probability setups, I’m watching the range boundaries closely — especially around the ~$82,380 PDH.

If price sweeps above ~$82,380 and rejects near the previous weekly high, I’ll be looking for short entries.

On the downside, if Bitcoin loses the ~$80,457 PDL, I’ll wait for price to move into my main long POI around ~$79,000. Depending on the reaction, I may also consider a scalp short on a clean retest before price reaches that zone.

The ~$79,000 region remains an important long POI for me, where I’ll watch for confirmation and long triggers.

However, if BTC loses the ~$78,000 level, it could open the door for a deeper move lower, and I’ll then focus on short continuation setups.

#ClarityActDraft #BinanceOnline

Study $BTC price action over the years.
Notice how almost every major weekly resistance level gets rejected on its first retest.

Notice how key weekly structural zones rarely flip successfully on the first attempt.
You already know where price is sitting.
You already know the level being tested for the first time.

The market has a strange habit of making traders switch their bias at the exact moment they shouldn’t.

Even during strong bull markets, price still forms ranges, revisits levels, rejects key zones, and creates failed breakouts.

Markets rarely move in a straight line without periods of consolidation and hesitation.

That’s how market structure has behaved for years, and this cycle is following the same pattern.

#IranRejectsUSPeacePlan #GrayscaleCardanoETF

$BTC
The level I highlighted in my earlier analysis continues to hold strong so far.
After tapping into the grey zone, price reacted with a solid 2.2% bounce and is now moving toward the recent high near $82.8K.

A liquidity sweep above that high would be a logical move, especially with liquidity building there once again.
On top of that, the unfilled CME gap around $84K still remains above price, making it another likely target.
#USAdds115kJobs #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14

$BTC | 4H Update

There’s still liquidity resting around 84.2k, and as long as price keeps holding above Monday’s high, I expect that area to get tapped over the weekend.

If we lose this level, the probability increases that a local top is already in place. In that case, price could rotate lower toward the 79.4k region, which acts as the key confirmation level. Acceptance below that zone would confirm the deviation and support further downside continuation.

The Monthly Open around 76k remains the most important area to watch this month. A revisit and strong hold there would suggest continued upside potential and slightly shift the current PA structure away from typical historical bear market behavior.

That said, I still lean toward a move below the Monthly Open later this month. If that happens, it would likely confirm the early-month rally as a liquidity grab and deviation. From a timing perspective, the market still doesn’t feel like it’s in a true bottoming phase yet, which makes this scenario more likely.

For now, the plan is simple: look for short setups either from a sweep of the current 82.8k high or directly from the 84.2k region, then hold toward a retest of the Monthly Open and reassess price action from there.

#IranDealHormuzOpen #IranDealHormuzOpen

$BTC

There still seems to be room for further upside here.

Now that price has secured a confirmed breakout above the range highs, a move toward filling the CME gap around $84k looks increasingly probable.

Price is already trading into higher timeframe resistance, but while the uptrend structure remains intact, there’s no strong reason to turn bearish yet.

My current plan is to wait for a retracement into the Golden Pocket alongside the CME gap fill, then monitor price action carefully from that area.

If we see a rejection there followed by acceptance back below the level, that would likely be my setup for one final swing short targeting the unswept lows beneath.

On the other hand, if bullish momentum stays strong and resistance gets reclaimed, the entire outlook shifts bullish, opening the path toward a potential $100k move.

If neither scenario develops and price rejects sooner than expected, I’ll wait for a confirmed break of structure before looking to catch the reversal.
#USAndIranTradeShotInTheStraitOfHormuz #TrumpUnveilsPlanToEscortHormuzShips

Bitcoin just got pulled into geopolitical turbulence:

$BTC rallied to $80,400 on Sunday night following Trump’s “Project Freedom” Hormuz escort operation, marking its highest level since early February.

What stood out was how thin the momentum looked, just $160M in weekly ETF inflows and no Saylor accumulation, yet price still pushed sharply higher.

But sentiment flipped quickly after Iran reportedly struck a US warship. Oil jumped 4% to $105, $BTC slipped back to $79,050, and futures turned negative.

Right now, markets are reacting to war risk in real time. Until tensions around Hormuz ease, every breakout could face heavy uncertainty.

#TrumpUnveilsPlanToEscortHormuzShips #CryptoVCFundingFalls74%inApril