Ethereum massacre in April! If there is no rebound in May, hell mode is about to begin!
Ethereum has collapsed across the board in the first four months of this year: falling -1.28% in January, -31.95% in February, -18.69% in March, and -20.22% in April. This is not a pullback, this is a massacre! The last time we saw a similar situation was during the great bear market of 2018.
History tells us: April is not a month of despair, as there have been multiple surges (such as +67% in 2017, +55% in 2020). But there are also records of severe bloodshed (such as -17% in 2022 and -20% in 2025).
In the long term, April has an average increase of +22%, but the volatility is extreme, like a roller coaster; whether to gamble or not depends on how daring you are.
Key warning: April-May is Ethereum's lifeline!
If there is still no improvement in these two months, June to September may completely turn into a bear market hell:
June: a traditionally brutal month, having plummeted -44% in 2022
July: a split market, with surges or drops occurring without any pattern
August-September: a disaster zone for the bear market, with multiple drops exceeding 20%
Response strategy:
If you want to gamble on a short-term rebound, April-May is the only window, but the risk is extremely high.
If the decline continues, it is recommended to lay flat starting in June and not to challenge the historical cycle directly.
History does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes; remember these numbers, which may save your life.