#SénateursAméricainsInterditsDeTraderSurLesMarchésDePrédiction

RamenCrypto · 2026-05-01T09:53:36.000Z

Le Grand Changement : Règle XXXVII Le Sénat a adopté une résolution, présentée par le Sénateur Bernie Moreno (R-OH), pour modifier la Règle XXXVII des Règles Permanentes du Sénat. L'Interdiction : Les sénateurs sont désormais interdits d'entrer dans tout contrat ou transaction qui est "dépendant de l'occurrence, non-occurrence, ou de l'étendue de l'occurrence d'un événement spécifique." Effet Immédiat : La règle est entrée en vigueur immédiatement après le vote à main levée. Application : La conformité sera surveillée et appliquée par le Comité d'Éthique du Sénat.

The Big Change: Rule XXXVII
The Senate passed a resolution, introduced by Senator Bernie Moreno (R-OH), to amend Rule XXXVII of the Standing Rules of the Senate.  
The Ban: Senators are now prohibited from entering into any contract or transaction that is "dependent on the occurrence, nonoccurrence, or the extent of the occurrence of a specific event."  
Immediate Effect: The rule took effect immediately upon the voice vote.  
Enforcement: Compliance will be monitored and enforced by the Senate Ethics Committee.  
Why Now?
The move follows a series of high-profile incidents that raised alarms about insider trading in the rapidly growing "event contract" industry:  
Insider Trading Allegations: There were reports of a sharp spike in contracts regarding U.S. military strikes in Iran just before they occurred in February 2026.  
The Maduro Payout: An Army Special Forces member was recently charged with using classified information regarding the capture of Nicolás Maduro to net over $400,000 on Polymarket.  
Platform Violations: Kalshi recently suspended and fined three congressional candidates for trading on their own election races.  
What it Covers (And What it Doesn't)
Feature
Status under the New Rule
Prediction Platforms
Strictly banned (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt).
Event Types
Covers elections, legislation, economic data, and geopolitical events.
Traditional Finance
Narrowed by an amendment from Sen. Alex Padilla to ensure things like insurance policies are not accidentally banned.
Who is Excluded?
The rule currently does not apply to House members, congressional staff, or family members (though companion legislation is in the works).
The Bottom Line
​As Senator Moreno put it, "Serving in Congress is an honor, not a side hustle." While the prediction market industry (including Kalshi’s CEO) has generally supported the move as a way to ensure market integrity, this is likely just the first step in a broader federal crackdown on how government officials interact with event-based wagering.
​#U.S.SenatorsBarredfromTradingonPredictionMarkets #SenateRules #InsiderTrading  #PredictionMarkets  #Polymarket  #Kalshi