$BTC #Bitcoin à $65,165 — L'accord avec l'Iran va-t-il enfin briser le motif de chute post-FOMC cette semaine ?

lishanhe10 · 2026-06-19T04:57:06.000Z

Aujourd'hui, je veux poser une question directe et pertinente à la communauté, car je pense que la configuration est vraiment trop serrée pour être sûre, et je préfère entendre votre analyse plutôt que de faire semblant d'avoir une prédiction solide. La situation au 19 juin : Bitcoin est autour de $65,165. Le FOMC a délivré la surprise haussière que le marché craignait — 9 des 18 responsables prévoient une hausse, les baisses de taux en 2026 ont disparu, les probabilités de hausse ont grimpé à 66%. C'est mauvais. C'est la même configuration qui a causé la chute de $BTC #Bitcoin après chacune des cinq dernières réunions du FOMC.

I want to put a direct, answerable question to the community today because I think the setup is genuinely too close to call, and I'd rather hear your read than pretend I have a confident prediction.
The situation as of June 19: Bitcoin sits around $65,165. The FOMC delivered the hawkish surprise the market feared — 9 of 18 officials project a hike, 2026 rate cuts are gone, hike odds jumped to 66%. That's bad. That's the same setup that caused $BTC #Bitcoin to drop after each of the last five FOMC meetings.
But today is also the day the US-Iran peace deal formally signs in Switzerland. Oil is already falling. The Strait of Hormuz reopens. The primary inflation driver that forced the Fed's hand is directly under pressure. Standard Chartered says the bottom is in. Long-term holders absorbed 125,000 #Bitcoin in June. 11,000+ $BTC #Bitcoin moved to cold storage in 48 hours. ETF flows are tentatively positive again.
Bitcoin sits around $65,000, down roughly 50% from its October all-time high, but on-chain data is flashing a historically significant signal. CoinCodex
Two legitimate macro forces, pointing in opposite directions, arriving in the same 48-hour window. The bearish case says the Fed pivot death and rising hike odds are structural, and no single peace deal fixes a higher-for-longer environment. The bullish case says the Iran signing removes the inflation driver that caused the hawkish pivot, and if oil falls far enough fast enough, the Fed's own hawkish case undermines itself within weeks.
Here's the question: does #Bitcoin close above $66,500 by Sunday June 22?
A) Yes — the Iran deal tailwind outweighs the FOMC headwind and #Bitcoin breaks higher
B) No — the hawkish Fed repricing keeps a lid on $BTC #Bitcoin regardless of the peace deal
Drop your vote in the comments. And drop your price target for $BTC #Bitcoin by end of June while you're there — let's see if the community collectively sees something the market hasn't priced yet.
$BTC  #Bitcoin #Poll  #IranDeal  #FOMC  #MacroTrading 
DYOR. Not financial advic