Gold Nears a Historic Monetary Level as #Bitcoin Tests Support
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments. #BTC☀️ $BTC
Trump Media Secara Aktif Mengelola Cadangan Bitcoin-nya
Trump Media memindahkan sekitar $174M dalam bitcoin ke berbagai dompet sehari setelah menambahkan lebih banyak BTC ke saldo mereka. Sebagian kecil dikirim ke Coinbase Prime Custody, sementara sebagian besar tetap di bawah kendali entitas yang sama.
Jenis pergerakan ini biasanya mencerminkan operasi kas, bukan penjualan. Produk kustodi dirancang untuk penyimpanan jangka panjang, bukan perdagangan segera.
Harga bitcoin tetap datar meskipun transfer dilakukan, menunjukkan bahwa pasar memandangnya sebagai netral.
Hal penting yang dapat diambil adalah manajemen gaya institusi dari bitcoin, bukan perilaku spekulatif. #BTC☀️ #Tramp $BTC
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
📉 Sejak 3 Maret, jumlah dompet yang memegang setidaknya 1 BTC turun 2,2%. Di permukaan, itu terlihat bearish.
📈 Tetapi inilah twistnya: Dompet dengan lebih dari 1 BTC sekarang memegang 136.670 koin lebih banyak.
🤔 Dalam istilah sederhana: • Dompet lebih sedikit • Pemegang lebih besar • Lebih banyak akumulasi di atas
Ini tidak terlihat seperti penjualan panik. Ini terlihat seperti #Bitcoin perlahan-lahan berpindah ke tangan yang lebih kuat. $BTC #BTC Analisis Harga BTC# #Prediksi Harga Bitcoin: Apa langkah selanjutnya untuk Bitcoin?#
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Mengapa Pasar Memilih Emas dan Tembaga daripada Bitcoin di 2025
Perilaku pasar tahun ini menceritakan kisah yang jelas. Investor memprioritaskan aset yang dapat mereka sentuh, simpan, dan andalkan ketika kepercayaan pada sistem keuangan melemah atau ketika pertumbuhan membutuhkan infrastruktur nyata.
Emas telah melonjak seiring dengan meningkatnya ketakutan akan keberlanjutan fiskal, pengurangan nilai mata uang, dan ketidakstabilan politik. Tembaga mengikuti, didorong oleh ledakan AI, elektrifikasi, dan pembangunan infrastruktur global. Kedua aset ini mewakili keterjangkauan di dunia yang mempertanyakan janji-janji kertas.
Bitcoin, meskipun diposisikan sebagai emas digital dan teknologi canggih, belum menangkap aliran tersebut. Lembaga keuangan sebagian besar telah memperhitungkan ETF dan kejelasan regulasi, sementara negara-negara tetap lebih memilih emas sebagai lindung nilai pilihan mereka.
Pemisahan ini tidak serta merta berarti Bitcoin telah kehilangan relevansi. Secara historis, emas cenderung memimpin selama periode stres moneter, dengan Bitcoin bereaksi kemudian dan seringkali dengan volatilitas yang lebih besar.
Pasar saat ini tidak menolak crypto. Itu menuntut bukti, kesabaran, dan waktu.
🚨 $BTC Skor Regime sedang berkedip sinyal awal yang sering terlewatkan oleh sebagian besar trader… Struktur Bull/Bear sedang terkompresi Skor Regime melayang dekat zona keseimbangan kritis (~16%) Zona ini secara historis menandai transisi, bukan tren
Ketika skor tetap di bawah nol → distribusi & volatilitas penurunan Patah yang berkelanjutan di atas garis dasar regime → ekspansi tren & kembalinya momentum
Saat ini, $BTC TIDAK dalam tren, ini sedang melingkar Semakin lama kompresi, semakin kuat impuls berikutnya Uang pintar tidak mengejar lilin. Mereka memposisikan sebelum regime berbalik. #BTCPriceAnalysis $BTC AnalisisHargaBTC# #OnChainAnalysis # #MarketRegime
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I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything.
But this... this feels different.
Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know.
Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles.
Came back and bought a little more $BTC Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run.
How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen? #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
NVDA bergerak berdasarkan pendapatan dan hype. Volatilitas Bitcoin sedang menurun karena adopsi meningkat. Itu adalah kedewasaan, bukan keberuntungan
N-Crypto Queen
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🚨 Peringatan Nvidia Analis Bernstein mengatakan NVDA secara historis murah dengan P/E di bawah 25x, 13% di bawah indeks SOX. Pembelian pada level ini rata-rata memberikan pengembalian 150% dalam 1 tahun tanpa kerugian selama 10 tahun. Meskipun ada kekhawatiran tentang belanja modal AI, NVDA tetap Outperform dengan target $275.
📉 Rekap Pasar 24 Jam: Crypto Turun Meski Inflasi Melandai & Pemotongan Suku Bunga
Inflasi melandai dan suku bunga dipotong, tetapi trader masih menjual aset berisiko. $BTC turun sekitar 2% mendekati $88,100 saat banyak yang mengunci keuntungan setelah lonjakan baru-baru ini, dengan ketegangan tambahan seputar potensi tekanan likuidasi terkait ETF jika penurunan semakin dalam.
$ETH juga mengikuti pasar turun, meluncur lebih dari 2% ke sekitar $2,940 saat penjualan menyebar di seluruh mayor. Pada hari-hari seperti ini, "makro yang baik" tidak selalu penting - posisi dan suasana menghindari risiko dapat dengan cepat mengalahkan berita utama.
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios? #BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC #Brazil
$BTC terus menunjukkan volatilitas, dengan reli terbaru menghadapi tekanan penjualan yang signifikan dekat puncak rentang intra-hari. Ketahanan yang terus-menerus ini menunjukkan bahwa para trader berhati-hati, terutama mengingat faktor makroekonomi yang mempengaruhi lanskap keuangan yang lebih luas.
Analis pasar sedang memantau dengan cermat implikasi dari kemungkinan pemotongan suku bunga dari Bank of Japan, yang dapat memperburuk tren penurunan tidak hanya untuk $BTC tetapi juga untuk berbagai altcoin. Antisipasi terhadap penyesuaian kebijakan moneter ini dapat menciptakan efek riak di seluruh pasar cryptocurrency, mendorong investor untuk menilai kembali posisi mereka.
Sementara $BTC tetap menjadi fokus, cryptocurrency lain juga merasakan dampak dari ketidakpastian ini. Investor disarankan untuk tetap waspada saat dinamika pasar berubah, terutama dengan latar belakang pergerakan keuangan tradisional yang mempengaruhi penilaian crypto.
🇺🇸 US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Why Holding Bitcoin Is No Longer Enough for Public Crypto Firms
Twenty One Capital (XXI) debuted on the NYSE with one of the largest corporate $BTC treasuries on record, but shares fell nearly 20% on day one. The market’s message was clear: simply holding Bitcoin is no longer enough to justify a premium valuation.
Key Takeaways:
XXI’s shares traded near the net value of its 43,500 $BTC , signaling fading mNAV premiums for Bitcoin-heavy equities.
Investors now demand visible revenue streams, operating leverage, and cash-flow narratives, not just asset exposure.
Market conditions, including SPAC fatigue and a recent BTC pullback, amplified skepticism toward balance-sheet-only valuations.
The shift highlights a broader trend: Bitcoin treasury firms must prove they can generate durable returns beyond price movements, rather than relying solely on crypto holdings. In this new environment, vision alone no longer commands investor confidence. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin2025#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#