加密市场日报 | 05月29日 16:29 UTC+8 📊 一、市场温度 恐贪指数:23(极度恐惧)↑ BSS(30日):0.2(年化Sharpe=-1.19) BSS(7日):0.1(年化Sharpe=-5.33) MVRV比率:0.9229(低估<1) RSI(14):25.0(超卖) 量价比:3.23%(偏低→市场冷清,可能筑底) 30日波动率:26.1% 30日收益:-2.55% 🟢🟢🟢 六重底部信号共振!(恐贪极低+MVRV<1+RSI超卖+BSS触底+USDC/USDT偏高+量价比偏低) 📈 二、核心价格 BTC 73,604(24h +0.55%) ETH 2,006.30(24h +1.05%) SOL 82.20(24h +1.54%) BNB 636.47(24h +0.48%) XRP 1.32(24h +2.14%) DOGE 0.09950(24h +1.10%) 总市值:2.557万亿 | BTC占比:57.7% | ETH占比:9.5% 24h成交:82.7亿 📉 三、BTC技术面 当前价:73,604 7MA:75,472 | 21MA:77,736 | 200MA:79,811 布林带:上轨82,403 - 中轨77,590 - 下轨72,776 价格位置:布林带下轨附近(超卖)(0.092) 200MA偏离:-7.71%(低于200MA→熊市结构) 均线交叉:死叉(7MA<21MA) 💰 四、链上数据 BTC算力:998.24 EH/s(上升→矿工看涨) 难度调整:+1.62% 已挖出:95.41% 稳定币:USDT 189.3B | USDC 76.1B | USDC/USDT=0.402 (USDC/USDT>0.4→机构资金入场信号) 🔥 五、大V观点汇总 【BTC观点】 · @saylor(❤3103):Strategy CEO PhongLe讨论BTC、STRC、MSTR及资本市场策略,如何收购BTC并提升每股BTC数量. · @saylor(❤3098):上周四在SchwabNetwork讨论了BTC定价动力学、数字信贷STRC对MSTR的影响,以及比特币重塑金融市场背景下DeFi和TradFi的融合. https://t.… · @APompliano(❤1917):比特币现在就像长了跳蚤的狗,但这正是人们应该关注的时候。你应该在不受欢迎的时候买入。… · @APompliano(❤1791):"我的BTC模型认为今天BTC均价应为13.4万美元. 目前BTC的定价偏差是我见过的最大的." - @porterstansb · @KillaXBT(❤1018):The biggest BTC psyop was making everyone think I was wrong. That’s what the algo was waiting for. A tweet from the guy who’s been right for 8 months straight getting pushed onto everyone’s timelin… · @KillaXBT(❤886):One of the longest swing short I’ve held on BTC so far. 41天只有横盘整理, but it’s finally starting to move in the intended direction.… · @KillaXBT(❤870):人们应该庆幸市场给了我们又一次抄底机会. It gives you more time to buy BTC spot. Sure, there’s short term pain, but I have always preached holders almost always outperform in … · @KillaXBT(❤802):BTC Don’t say I didn’t warn you countless times. 重要周线阻力位很少能一次突破,这次也不例外. 【鲸鱼/资金流向】 · @lookonchain(❤461):Bitwise在过去3小时又买入301,863 HYPE(1,843万美元). · @lookonchain(❤304):Galaxy Digital解除质押100万HYPE(6116万美元),正在出售. Galaxy Digital已将50万HYPE(3,036万美元)存入Bybit和OKX. · @lookonchain(❤256):巨鲸0xaa92重仓ASTEROID,仅20天亏损116万美元!20天前花了181万美元买入42.1亿ASTEROID,现在只值64.9万美元.… · @lookonchain(❤252):巨鲸正在做多PEPE。两个钱包可能属于同一条巨鲸,在过去3小时开了1.31B kPEPE(462万美元)的10倍做多. https://t.… · @lookonchain(❤238):a16z关联巨鲸在过去7小时又买入253,947 HYPE(1,503万美元)。4月14日以来累计买入355万HYPE(1.707亿美元),均价48美元. https://t.… · @whale_alert(❤180):💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 250,000,000 USDC (249,966,462 USD) minted at USDC Treasury 【ETH/SOL观点】 · @KillaXBT(❤1269):Sell me all your SOL below 76 an f*ck off. · @lookonchain(❤1099):James Wynn(@JamesWynnReal)刚发行WORLD代币然后跑路,只赚了3.2 SOL(260美元). · @AltcoinDaily(❤655):ETH将是史上最被恨的反弹! · @AltCryptoGems(❤300):ETH在阻力位双重受阻后仍处境艰难。目前没什么可做的,只能等回到支撑位再看. · @AltCryptoGems(❤300):SOL走势很弱。在98美元受阻后价格开始持续走低,关键位已转为阻力位,尤其是88美元.… · @AltcoinDaily(❤298):以太坊的虚假信息令人震惊 · @lookonchain(❤297):Pumpfun又卖出100,628 SOL(832万美元)!累计卖出4,466,846 SOL(7.8亿美元),均价175美元.… · @AltCryptoGems(❤277):在任何接受万事达卡的地方使用加密货币日常消费(全球9000万+商户)!新用户首充100美元以上送10 USDT … 【宏观/ETF】 · @BingXOfficial(❤188):75B raise. 1.75T valuation. 史上最大IPO. SpaceX isn’t entering the market quietly. ⏰:June 12, SPCX on Nasdaq. Would you buy at 94x sales? Drop your thoughts 👇 · @0xNonceSense(❤163):没人看到标普反弹之下的真相:2022年1月以来M2增长4.5%,标普500却涨了56%。这次反弹不是美联储印的——回购、ETF流入、外资.… · @APompliano(❤153):通胀计算已被操控和误导。@porterstansb表示年通胀率接近11% · @BSCNews(❤131):XRP ETF资金水龙头刚关上。在疯狂8天净流入5300万美元后,5月27日Ripple现货ETF净流入归零.… · @AltcoinDaily(❤126):今日:VanEck推出美国首个现货BNB ETF · @APompliano(❤110):“India has really implemented a strong set of pro-business enablers over the last 5 years under Modi…you have the highest GDP growth and it is supposed to be as bi…
加密市场日报 | 05月29日 16:29 UTC+8 📊 一、市场温度 恐贪指数:23(Extreme Fear)↑ BSS(30日):0.2(年化Sharpe=-1.19) BSS(7日):0.1(年化Sharpe=-5.33) MVRV比率:0.9229(低估<1) RSI(14):25.0(超卖) 量价比:3.23%(偏低→市场冷清,可能筑底) 30日波动率:26.1% 30日收益:-2.55% 🟢🟢🟢 六重底部信号共振!(恐贪极低+MVRV<1+RSI超卖+BSS触底+USDC/USDT偏高+量价比偏低) 📈 二、核心价格 BTC $73,604(24h +0.55%) ETH $2,006.30(24h +1.05%) SOL $82.20(24h +1.54%) BNB $636.47(24h +0.48%) XRP $1.32(24h +2.14%) DOGE $0.09950(24h +1.10%) 总市值:$2.557万亿 | BTC占比:57.7% | ETH占比:9.5% 24h成交:$82.7亿 📉 三、BTC技术面 当前价:$73,604 7MA:75,472 | 21MA:77,736 | 200MA:79,811 布林带:上轨$82,403 - 中轨$77,590 - 下轨$72,776 价格位置:布林带下轨附近(超卖)(0.092) 200MA偏离:-7.71%(低于200MA→熊市结构) 均线交叉:死叉(7MA<21MA) 💰 四、链上数据 BTC算力:998.24 EH/s(上升→矿工看涨) 难度调整:+1.62% 已挖出:95.41% 稳定币:USDT $0.0B | USDC $0.0B | USDC/USDT=0.402 (USDC/USDT>0.4→机构资金入场信号) 🔥 五、大V观点汇总 【BTC观点】 · @saylor(❤3103):Strategy CEO @PhongLe discusses BTC, STRC, MSTR, and our capital markets strategy to acquire Bitcoin and increase Bitcoin Per Share with @LizClaman. · @saylor(❤3098):Last Thursday on @SchwabNetwork, I discussed BTC pricing dynamics, Digital Credit STRC, its impact on MSTR, and 比特币重塑金融市场中DeFi和TradFi的融合. https://t.… · @APompliano(❤1917):比特币现在就像长了跳蚤的狗, but 这正是人们应该关注的时候. 你应该在不受欢迎的时候买入.… · @APompliano(❤1791):"我的BTC模型认为今天BTC均价应为13.4万美元. 目前BTC的定价偏差是我见过的最大的." - @porterstansb · @KillaXBT(❤1018):The biggest BTC psyop was making everyone think I was wrong. That’s what the algo was waiting for. A tweet from the guy who’s been right for 8 months straight getting pushed onto everyone’s timelin… · @KillaXBT(❤886):One of the longest swing short I’ve held on BTC so far. 41天只有横盘整理, but it’s finally starting to move in the intended direction.… · @KillaXBT(❤870):人们应该庆幸市场给了我们又一次抄底机会. It gives you more time to buy BTC spot. Sure, there’s short term pain, but I have always preached holders almost always outperform in … · @KillaXBT(❤802):BTC Don’t say I didn’t warn you countless times. 重要周线阻力位很少能一次突破,这次也不例外. 【鲸鱼/资金流向】 · @lookonchain(❤461):Bitwise bought another 301,863 HYPE($18.43M) in the past 3 hours. · @lookonchain(❤304):Galaxy Digital解除质押100万HYPE(6116万美元),正在出售. Galaxy Digital has already deposited 500K HYPE($30.36M) into #Bybit and #OKX. · @lookonchain(❤256):Whale 0xaa92, who went heavy into ASTEROID, 仅20天亏损116万美元! 20 days ago, this whale spent $1.81M to buy 4.21B ASTEROID. Now it is worth only $649K, meaning he has lost $1.16M.… · @lookonchain(❤252):巨鲸正在做多PEPE. 两个钱包可能属于同一条巨鲸, opened 10x longs on 1.31B $kPEPE($4.62M) over the past 3 hours. https://t.… · @lookonchain(❤238):The #a16z-linked whale bought another 253,947 HYPE($15.03M) over the past 7 hours. Since Apr 14, this whale has bought a total of 3.55M HYPE($170.7M) at an average price of $48. https://t.… · @whale_alert(❤180):💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 250,000,000 USDC (249,966,462 USD) minted at USDC Treasury