Troy Meylor yOKU

The beginning of 2026 could mark a meaningful shift in the crypto market — and this isn’t based on hype or “bullish vibes” 😅.
There are real structural reasons why Q1 often brings upside momentum for Bitcoin and altcoins 📈.
Why Q1 Matters So Much 💡
A new year doesn’t just reset calendars — it resets capital allocation 💰.
January is when large players step back into the market:
Investment funds rebalance portfolios ⚖️
New mandates and strategies activate 📝
Risk budgets restart from zero 🎯
Now look at traditional markets 👀
🟡 Gold is near all-time highs
⚪ Silver already made a strong run
📊 Major stock indices are sitting close to peaks
Crypto tells a different story 🪙
Bitcoin and many major altcoins are still below their all-time highs.
For institutions, the logic is simple:
Why chase assets that already moved… when crypto still offers open upside? ✅
And remember — crypto is a relatively small market 🌊
Even a modest rotation of institutional capital can move prices faster than most expect ⚡
Don’t Misread December Weakness ❄️
Year-end selling doesn’t always equal fear.
A lot of December pressure comes from:
Tax-loss harvesting 📉
Closing books for the year 🧾
Reduced liquidity due to holidays
What often follows?
🔁 January re-entry — sometimes into the same assets.
In simple terms:
📉 December = temporary selling pressure
📈 January = fresh capital and renewed buying
That’s why markets can look weak into year-end…
then suddenly flip once that pressure disappears 🚀
The Key Technical Level to Watch 📊
Bitcoin has historically respected its 4-year cycle ⏳
One indicator repeatedly shows up during major transitions:
📍 The 50-week EMA
Last cycle: BTC dropped → reclaimed the 50-week EMA → pushed higher 📈
Right now, that level sits around $98k–$100k 🎯
If Q1 2026 brings a similar reclaim,
a move toward $100k–$102k becomes realistic (around ~18% upside).
And when BTC moves… altcoins rarely stay quiet 🌪️
Historically:
🟠 ETH & large caps: ~35–40% moves
🟣 Smaller alts: ~60–80% spikes before momentum cools 💥
Important Reality Check ⚠️
This does not automatically confirm a long-term mega bull market ❌
More likely: A strong relief rally that convinces many the bull is back 🐼🔥
…before the market challenges traders again 😈📉
My Position 🤝
I’m staying patient and positioned in spot, not chasing noise 🧊
Holding high-conviction assets like: $SOL OL, $XRP RP, $ETH H, and select quality altcoins.
Sometimes the biggest moves start when the crowd is still uncertain.

XRP yang terdaftar di AS
dana yang diperdagangkan di bursa kini telah melampaui $1.2 miliar dalam total AUM, menandai tonggak penting bagi aset tersebut. Sejak peluncurannya, ETF ini telah mencatat aliran masuk harian yang konsisten tanpa gangguan, menyoroti minat yang berkelanjutan dari investor besar.
Akumulasi yang stabil ini menunjukkan lebih dari sekadar spekulasi jangka pendek—itu mencerminkan partisipasi institusional yang nyata. Perilaku semacam ini biasanya didorong oleh posisi jangka panjang, bukan hype ritel, yang menunjukkan bahwa modal profesional melihat nilai strategis dalam peran XRP di dalam ekosistem aset digital yang berkembang.

Pasokan maksimum Bitcoin secara permanen dibatasi pada 21 juta koin. Saat kita memasuki akhir 2025, lebih dari 19,96 juta BTC sudah ditambang dan beredar.
Ini menyisakan sekitar 1,04 juta BTC yang belum ditambang — kurang dari 5% dari total pasokan.
Dengan setiap Halving Bitcoin, penciptaan BTC baru berkurang sebesar 50%. Halving terbaru pada tahun 2024 mengurangi imbalan blok menjadi 3.125 BTC, memperlambat pasokan baru bahkan lebih jauh.
Seiring penerbitan terus menyusut dan permintaan meningkat, kelangkaan Bitcoin semakin kuat seiring waktu. Pasokan yang terkontrol dan dapat diprediksi inilah yang membuat Bitcoin sering dibandingkan dengan emas digital 💎