Mengapa Rentang Desember Bitcoin Mungkin Segera Berakhir
Bitcoin yang bertahan antara $85,000 dan $90,000 selama sebagian besar bulan Desember lebih terkait dengan struktur derivatif daripada sentimen.
Paparan opsi yang berat dekat spot memaksa pembuat pasar untuk melakukan lindung nilai secara agresif, membeli penurunan dan menjual kenaikan. Perilaku ini menekan volatilitas dan mengunci harga dalam koridor yang sempit, meskipun kondisi makro membaik dan aset berisiko bergerak lebih tinggi.
Dinamik ini berubah saat opsi akhir tahun kadaluarsa. Dengan sekitar $27B dalam minat terbuka yang akan berakhir dan bias call yang kuat masih berlaku, tekanan lindung nilai yang menahan harga dengan cepat memudar.
Volatilitas implisit tetap dekat dengan level terendah bulanan, menunjukkan bahwa pasar kurang memperhitungkan pergerakan saat batasan struktural dihapus.
Ketika posisi mendominasi harga selama berminggu-minggu, resolusi sering datang dengan cepat setelah batasan tersebut lenyap.
Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing. #BTC #analysis
OR - nouveau ATH ARGENT - nouveau ATH S&P 500 - proche ATH NASDAQ - proche ATH DOW - nouveau ATH Alors que Bitcoin est en baisse de -28% par rapport à son sommet, ayant le pire T4 des 7 dernières années sans aucune nouvelle négative, FUD ou scandale. Il n'y a pas d'explication à cela sauf un marché pur ... vous savez ce que c'est #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Anda tidak perlu jumlah uang yang besar untuk memulai di crypto. Apa yang Anda benar-benar butuhkan adalah disiplin, tindakan konsisten, dan koin tren yang tepat. 💼🔥 Langkah kecil, yang diambil setiap hari, dapat menghasilkan hasil besar. Mulailah membangun perjalanan penghasilan Anda hari ini. 🚀 #Trendcoin #BTC走势分析
🚨 $BTC Skor Regime sedang menunjukkan sinyal awal yang sering terlewatkan oleh sebagian besar trader… Struktur Bull/Bear sedang terkompresi Skor regime berada di dekat zona keseimbangan kritis (~16%) Zona ini secara historis menandai transisi, bukan tren
Ketika skor tetap di bawah nol → distribusi & volatilitas penurunan Pecahan yang bertahan di atas baseline regime → perluasan tren & kembalinya momentum
Saat ini, $BTC TIDAK sedang tren, ia sedang mengerut Semakin lama kompresi, semakin kuat impuls berikutnya Uang pintar tidak mengejar candle. Mereka memposisikan diri sebelum regime berbalik. #BTC #AnalisisOnChain #MarketRegime
Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.
$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.
#BTC Price Analysis# #ETH Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move? #BTC
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios? #BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC #Brazil
$BTC continues to exhibit volatility, with recent rallies encountering significant selling pressure near the intra-day range highs. This persistent resistance suggests that traders are cautious, particularly in light of macroeconomic factors influencing the broader financial landscape.
Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions.
While $BTC remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations.
🇺🇸 US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?
฿$BTC — Attempting a Bounce Below a Key Downtrend Line
Bitcoin is trying to stabilize after successfully defending the $88,000 support zone, where buyers stepped in to slow down the sell-off.
Price is now pressing against a major descending trendline that has capped every recent bounce. A rejection here would keep the corrective structure intact and could trigger another leg down.
However a clean and sustained breakout above $90,500 would significantly improve the short-term outlook and could ignite a fast upside move.
This is a critical decision zone either BTC gets rejected and dips again or it breaks out and leaves late sellers behind. The window to position is closing fast. #BTC #bitcoin