Mengapa Rentang Desember Bitcoin Mungkin Segera Berakhir Bitcoin yang diperdagangkan antara $85,000 dan $90,000 selama sebagian besar Desember lebih sedikit berkaitan dengan sentimen dan lebih banyak berkaitan dengan struktur derivatif. Paparan opsi yang berat dekat spot memaksa pembuat pasar untuk menghadapi risiko dengan agresif, membeli penurunan dan menjual kenaikan. Perilaku ini menekan volatilitas dan mengunci harga dalam koridor yang sempit, bahkan saat kondisi makro membaik dan aset berisiko bergerak lebih tinggi. Dinamik ini berubah seiring berakhirnya opsi tahun-end. Dengan kira-kira $27B dalam kepentingan terbuka yang berkurang dan bias panggilan yang kuat masih ada, tekanan hedging yang mengunci harga cepat memudar. Volatilitas implisit tetap dekat dengan level terendah bulanan, menunjukkan bahwa pasar sedang meremehkan pergerakan saat batasan struktural dihapus. Ketika posisi mendominasi harga selama berminggu-minggu, resolusi sering datang dengan cepat setelah batasan tersebut hilang.
Mengapa Pasar Memilih Emas dan Tembaga daripada #Bitcoin di 2025 Perilaku pasar tahun ini menceritakan kisah yang jelas. Investor memprioritaskan aset yang dapat mereka sentuh, simpan, dan andalkan ketika kepercayaan terhadap sistem keuangan melemah atau ketika pertumbuhan menuntut infrastruktur nyata. Emas telah melonjak seiring dengan meningkatnya ketakutan akan keberlanjutan fiskal, depresiasi mata uang, dan ketidakstabilan politik. Tembaga mengikuti, didorong oleh ledakan AI, elektrifikasi, dan pembangunan infrastruktur global. Kedua aset tersebut mewakili ketangguhan di dunia yang mempertanyakan janji-janji kertas. Bitcoin, meskipun diposisikan sebagai baik emas digital maupun teknologi kelas atas, tidak menangkap aliran tersebut. Institusi sebagian besar telah mempertimbangkan ETF dan kejelasan regulasi, sementara negara-negara terus lebih memilih emas sebagai lindungan pilihan mereka. Perbedaan ini tidak serta merta berarti Bitcoin telah kehilangan relevansi. Secara historis, emas cenderung memimpin selama periode tekanan moneter, dengan Bitcoin bereaksi kemudian dan seringkali dengan volatilitas yang lebih besar. Pasar saat ini tidak menolak #crypto. Ini menuntut bukti, kesabaran, dan waktu.
#BTC doesn’t move to meet expectations — it moves to test discipline. Periods of uncertainty and slow price action are part of every cycle. Those who focus on structure, risk management, and time usually outperform those chasing every move.
Struktur sedang membaik, tetapi konfirmasi adalah segalanya. Penutupan harian di atas garis tren menurun dan $90k akan menandakan kekuatan yang nyata dan membuka jalan menuju resistensi yang lebih tinggi. Indikator momentum sedang berbalik, yang menggembirakan, tetapi penerimaan harga di atas level kunci adalah apa yang benar-benar akan mengubah sentimen. Sampai saat itu, kesabaran dan manajemen risiko tetap menjadi kunci.
BeyOglu - The Analyst
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Bitcoin dapat pulih jika ditutup di atas resistensi kunci:
Harga Bitcoin diuji ulang dan menemukan dukungan pada level retracement di $85,869 pada hari Kamis, dan pulih 3,67% selama tiga hari berikutnya. Hingga hari Senin, BTC mendekati garis tren menurun (digambar dengan menghubungkan beberapa puncak sejak 6 Oktober).
Jika $BTC menembus di atas garis tren menurun dan ditutup di atas $90,000, itu bisa memperpanjang pemulihan menuju resistensi berikutnya di $94,253.
Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI) membaca 46, mengarah ke atas menuju level netral 50, menunjukkan tanda-tanda awal memudarnya momentum bearish. Untuk momentum bullish dapat dipertahankan, RSI harus bergerak di atas level netral. Selain itu, indikator Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) menunjukkan crossover bullish pada hari Sabtu, lebih lanjut mendukung tesis pemulihan.
Di sisi lain, jika BTC menghadapi koreksi, itu bisa memperpanjang penurunan menuju dukungan kunci di $85,569
🚨 $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) Regime Score is flashing an early signal most traders miss… Bull/Bear structure is compressing Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%) This zone historically marks transitions, not trends When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return Right now, $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) is NOT trending it’s coiling The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips. #BTC Price Analysis# (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/BTC%20Price%20Analysis%23/top/) #OnChainAnalysis (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/OnChainAnalysis/top/) #MarketRegime (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/MarketRegime/top/)
Aksi harga terlihat lemah dalam jangka pendek, tetapi aliran modal menceritakan kisah yang berbeda. Aliran ETF selama minggu merah biasanya bukan kebetulan.
Arenar Intel
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🔥 SEKARANG: Meskipun 4/5 hari berwarna merah, ETF $BTC masih melihat aliran masuk bersih mingguan sebesar $57,3 juta.
Honestly, I'm tired of staring at charts. I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything. But this... this feels different. Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know. Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles. Came back and bought a little more $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run. How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen? #BTC Price Analysis#
📉 Market 24-Hour Recap: Crypto Slips Despite Cooling Inflation & Rate Cuts Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens. $ETH (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1027) also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast. #BTC Price Analysis# (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/BTC%20Price%20Analysis%23/top/) #ETH (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/ETH/top/) #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/Bitcoin%20Price%20Prediction%3A%20What%20is%20Bitcoins%20next%20move%3F%23/top/)
BTC tidak bergerak karena hype — ia bergerak karena keyakinan. Sementara ketakutan mendominasi suara, fundamental terus dibangun dengan tenang: • Institusi masih mengakumulasi • ETF terus membentuk permintaan • Pemegang jangka panjang tidak menjual Sejarah menunjukkan Bitcoin melakukan yang terbaik ketika kesabaran menggantikan kepanikan. Tetap fokus. Tetap disiplin. Gambaran besar masih utuh. 🟠 #BTC #Bitcoin
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios? #BTC Price Analysis##bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC #Brazil
$BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) continues to exhibit volatility, with recent rallies encountering significant selling pressure near the intra-day range highs. This persistent resistance suggests that traders are cautious, particularly in light of macroeconomic factors influencing the broader financial landscape. Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions. While $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations. #BTC Price #Analysis (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/BTC%20Price%20Analysis%23/top/) #Macro #Insights (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/Macro%20Insights%23/top/) #CMC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/CMC/top/)
📊 Tuesday Crypto Pulse - $BTC (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/?cryptoId=1) and Market Highlights Happy Tuesday, everyone! Crypto markets are reacting to a mix of network stress, institutional accumulation, and macro optimism. Here’s what matters today 👇 🔥 Top Crypto Headlines • Bitcoin hash rate dropped by ~8% following raids in China targeting illegal mining farms - a short-term network shock, but historically such events tend to rebalance difficulty over time. • Strategy retained its position in the Nasdaq 100, reinforcing Bitcoin exposure within traditional equity indices. • Citigroup forecasts the S&P 500 reaching 7,700 in 2026, signaling continued optimism for risk assets in the medium term. • Last week, Strategy acquired 10,645 BTC (~$980M), while BitMine added 102,259 ETH (~$298M) to its balance sheet - institutional accumulation remains strong. • Nvidia unveiled Nemotron 3, new open-source AI models for code, text, and general-purpose tasks, strengthening the AI–crypto narrative. • MetaMask added Bitcoin support, expanding BTC accessibility for millions of users. • Research warns that liquidity on crypto exchanges is critically low, raising concerns about potential market instability similar to past flash crashes. • Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is set to launch on Optimism, Base, Ink, and Unichain, accelerating multi-chain stablecoin adoption. 📌 Institutional buying continues, infrastructure is expanding, but liquidity risks and network disruptions remain key variables to watch. #BTC Price Analysis# (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/BTC%20Price%20Analysis%23/top/)#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/topics/Bitcoin%20Price%20Prediction%3A%20What%20is%20Bitcoins%20next%20move%3F%23/top/)
🇺🇸 US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis# #bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#