Ethereum $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
is repeating the same 116% rally pattern from June — but that rally only happened after a deep “final dip,” and current metrics suggest the same setup may be forming again.
1️⃣ NUPL Repeats the June Reset Pattern
In June, NUPL fell from 0.24 → 0.17, clearing weak hands and triggering a 116% rally.
Today, NUPL is dropping from the same 0.24 level (already at 0.21 and falling).
If history repeats, ETH $ETH could retrace to around US$2,470 before a strong rebound begins.
2️⃣ Exchange Outflows Collapse 50%
Outflows on Nov 6: 1.14M ETH
Outflows on Nov 17: 574K ETH
A sharp decline in outflows usually signals holders sending ETH back to exchanges — short-term bearish pressure.
3️⃣ Chart Structure Points to the Same Downside Target
ETH $ETH remains inside a downtrend channel since early October.
Losing US$2,920 confirms sellers still in control.
Next major support: US$2,466, perfectly aligned with the NUPL reset target.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish: Strong bounce from US$2.466 could mirror the June rally.
Bearish: Failure to reclaim US$3.655 keeps the downside scenario alive.
Both on-chain and chart analysis point to the same zone: US$2.46K – US$2.47K.
This area could be Ethereum’s “final dip” before the next big move.
#Write2Earn #ETH #Ethereum #ETH/USDT #BTC90kBreakingPoint
$SOLV +20% and chilling around 0.01628. Volume looks lively, that big green candle earlier shows strong buying interest kicking in around 0.014. After spiking to 0.01728, price is now moving sideways above MA5 & MA10, which is a good sign that momentum is still warm.
The upper Bollinger Band is still open, hinting there’s room for another push. Order book also leans bullish (66% buyers), so short-term sentiment is still positive. Just keep in mind: after a strong pump, the market usually stops for a coffee break.
still fine to watch for small long setups, but be ready to exit if it slips under 0.0155. #solv
$TURBO Price is sitting comfortably above the EMA7 & EMA25. a good sign that the uptrend still has proper support.
Small alternating candles show consolidation, not a dump. As long as TURBO stays above 0.00173 - 0.00175, the upside potential remains open. But for the next leg up, it needs to break 0.00190 cleanly.
the chart kinda whispers, “not trying to FOMO, but if I break 0.00190… I might zoom a bit” #turbo
📆 Economic Calendar Update: 19–23 November
Market Bersiap Volatil!
🔥 Rabu, 19 November
🇬🇧 UK Inflation YoY: Forecast 3.6% (↓ dari 3.8%)
🇺🇸 Building Permits & Housing Starts: Arahkan kekuatan sektor perumahan AS.
🔥 Kamis, 20 November (Hari Paling Berbahaya!)
🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes — penentu arah suku bunga!
🇺🇸 NFP: Forecast 50K (naik signifikan dari 22K)
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate: Tetap 4.3%
🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales: 4.08M
🔥 Jumat, 21 November
🇯🇵 Inflasi Jepang: 2.9%
🇯🇵 Balance of Trade: -280B ¥
🇬🇧 Retail Sales MoM: 0%
🇩🇪 & 🇬🇧 PMI: Range 49–52
📌 Apa Artinya untuk Market?
FOMC + NFP = Kombinasi Penggerak Besar
➜ Dovish → Crypto & saham bisa rally
➜ Hawkish → DXY menguat, Bitcoin rawan terpukul
Data lain (inflasi, PMI, perumahan) jadi petunjuk kesehatan global yang ikut mempengaruhi risk appetite.
Wawasan BTC
Ringkasan
Bitcoin kembali melemah tajam dalam 24 jam terakhir, menyentuh level terendah 7 bulan di tengah volatilitas tinggi dan sinyal pasar yang saling bertentangan.
Highlight Utama
1. Pergerakan Harga: BTC turun drastis namun masih menunjukkan potensi pemulihan jangka pendek secara teknikal.
2. Whale Aktif: Lebih dari 45.000 BTC diakumulasi selama penurunan, menandakan pembelian strategis.
3. Risiko Pasar: Death Cross terkonfirmasi dan transfer besar dari Mt. Gox tetap menjadi ancaman bearish jangka panjang.
Sisi Positif
Whale mencatat minggu akumulasi terbesar tahun ini.
Bursa besar meluncurkan kontrak futures perpetual BTC & ETH, menandakan meningkatnya minat institusi.
El Salvador terus menambah cadangan BTC hingga mendekati 7.500 BTC.
Risiko
Death Cross MA50 di bawah MA200 menguatkan tren bearish jangka panjang.
Lebih dari 10.608 BTC dipindahkan dari Mt. Gox, menambah potensi tekanan jual.
Harga masih berada di bawah EMA25 & EMA99, menunjukkan momentum bearish yang berlanjut.
Sentimen Komunitas
Campuran: sebagian memprediksi penurunan ke $80.000, sebagian lain melihat akumulasi whale sebagai awal pembalikan.