Hey family đ
Fasten your seatbelts, because $BTC may be reminding the market why overconfidence is dangerousâespecially when predicting price action.
Many expected a year-end victory lap for crypto, but instead, Bitcoin appears ready to close 2025 with a tough reality check. Despite trading near $88,000, on-chain analysts like CryptoOnchain suggest the market needs to cool off before any meaningful continuation upward.
So whatâs really happening?
Letâs talk about a key concept: Point of Control (POC).
This is the price level where the most trading activity occurredâthe zone where buyers and sellers agreed most often. Right now, Bitcoin has struggled to push beyond recent highs, which increases the probability of a pullback to its strongest support zone: $70,000â$72,000.
That might sound alarmingâbut zoom out.
That range marked the top of the previous cycle, and former resistance often becomes future support. A controlled 20% correction that holds above $70K could actually strengthen the foundation for a much healthier move in 2026. The longer BTC holds that level, the more confident and aggressive buyers are likely to become.
â ď¸ However, data matters.
If Bitcoin fails to defend that zone, the correction could turn deeper and more prolonged.
Adding to the caution, the RSI is flashing bearish divergence, signaling that bullish momentum is fadingâfor now. On top of that, the current global trade environment closely mirrors conditions seen earlier this year, when markets struggled to sustain upside moves.
So the big question remains:
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Is this a classic âtiger leapââa temporary drop before another explosive rally?
âď¸ Or is the market quietly warning that crypto winter may arrive sooner than expected?
One thing is certain: markets never move in straight lines. These shakeouts are designed to test conviction, punish emotional decisions, and reward those who respect structure, data, and patience.
Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. And rememberâvolatility is the price of opportunity.
